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battery bid lays marker for new oil","billion-dollar-battery-bid-lays-marker-for-new-oil","article/billion-dollar-battery-bid-lays-marker-for-new-oil",{"_uid":557,"date":558,"tags":559,"editor":560,"content":570,"excerpt":745,"featured":50,"reporter":746,"_editable":750,"component":751,"seo_title":553,"categories":752,"visibility":759,"author_company":49,"featured_image":760,"seo_description":745,"author_full_name":49,"author_job_title":49,"formattedDate":765,"formattedArticleDate":766},"efaa6202-eb85-4d27-8cc6-08bf0606937b","2016-07-21 00:00",[],[561],{"slug":562,"name":563,"content":564},"matthew-bird","Matthew Bird",{"job_title":565,"image":566,"bio":568,"linkedin":569},"Senior Editor - Supply Chains & Data Visualisation",{"filename":567},"https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/512x512/14738033ec/matthew-bird.jpeg","Matthew writes, edits and produces content for Benchmark Intelligence and Benchmark Source across the whole mine to grid supply chain. He also acts as a liaison to the press. He has a PhD in electrochemistry from the University of Nottingham.","https://www.linkedin.com/in/birdmatthew/",{"type":571,"content":572},"doc",[573,580,585,590,595,600,605,610,615,620,625,628,633,638,643,648,653,658,663,668,673,678,683,688,693,698,703,710,715,720,725,730,735,740],{"type":574,"attrs":575,"content":576},"paragraph",{"textAlign":49},[577],{"text":578,"type":579}," Total’s $1.1bn bid for specialist lithium ion battery producer, Saft, expected to be the start of a global trend as oil producers seek hedge against embattled fossil fuel industry","text",{"type":574,"attrs":581,"content":582},{"textAlign":49},[583],{"text":584,"type":579},"Energy storage is the new oil. While that may not be a direct comparison, in terms of its importance and the potential impact on the way we produce and consume energy, it is apt.",{"type":574,"attrs":586,"content":587},{"textAlign":49},[588],{"text":589,"type":579},"It is also a premise that major oil producer, Total SA, is willing to bet $1.1bn on after it made a takeover bid for battery manufacturer, Saft SA in Q2.",{"type":574,"attrs":591,"content":592},{"textAlign":49},[593],{"text":594,"type":579},"Saft is a specialist producer of a variety of different battery types including lithium ion chemistries used in aerospace, utility and transport applications. Research and development is a core competency of the French company, investing $76m into the area in 2015, the equivalent to 9% of its sales.",{"type":574,"attrs":596,"content":597},{"textAlign":49},[598],{"text":599,"type":579},"For the first time ever, oil is under threat.",{"type":574,"attrs":601,"content":602},{"textAlign":49},[603],{"text":604,"type":579},"The threat is not necessarily from extinction, but its long-held strong hold as the world’s dominant source of fuel.",{"type":574,"attrs":606,"content":607},{"textAlign":49},[608],{"text":609,"type":579},"The way we consume energy is centered on the cars we drive and the power plants and national grids that distribute power to our homes and offices. At present, there is no way to store the energy we use, power plants have to predict when the peak demand will be. If they get this wrong, the energy is wasted.",{"type":574,"attrs":611,"content":612},{"textAlign":49},[613],{"text":614,"type":579},"If we had the ability to economically store power on a mass scale, it is not just a gamechanger but an energy revolution.",{"type":574,"attrs":616,"content":617},{"textAlign":49},[618],{"text":619,"type":579},"Low cost, abundant batteries are central to any fourth industrial revolution.",{"type":574,"attrs":621,"content":622},{"textAlign":49},[623],{"text":624,"type":579},"Without them solar power would not work on a scale to make any serious dent in oil’s market share and electric vehicles would be too expensive and impractical, no matter how sexy they look.",{"type":574,"attrs":626,"content":627},{"textAlign":49},[],{"type":574,"attrs":629,"content":630},{"textAlign":49},[631],{"text":632,"type":579},"Mass producing lower cost and denser lithium ion batteries is the key to cracking this renewable energy conundrum that has been supported by subsidy and failed to take off since developments began in the late-1990s.",{"type":574,"attrs":634,"content":635},{"textAlign":49},[636],{"text":637,"type":579},"Mass production of better lithium ion batteries is, however, an intensifying trend.",{"type":574,"attrs":639,"content":640},{"textAlign":49},[641],{"text":642,"type":579},"The battery industry has only seen serious investment in R&D over the last three years, however Benchmark Mineral Intelligence is now tracking at least 12 lithium ion megafactories due to come online by 2020.",{"type":574,"attrs":644,"content":645},{"textAlign":49},[646],{"text":647,"type":579},"Committed investment into new lithium ion battery capacity in the next 4 years is in excess of $15bn – a figure that does not include any recent acquisitions such as Dyson’s purchase of Satki 3 or Total’s Saft bid.",{"type":574,"attrs":649,"content":650},{"textAlign":49},[651],{"text":652,"type":579},"Lithium ion batteries and their supply chains are about to go mainstream.",{"type":574,"attrs":654,"content":655},{"textAlign":49},[656],{"text":657,"type":579},"This has led to significant uptake in the raw materials of lithium, graphite and cobalt.",{"type":574,"attrs":659,"content":660},{"textAlign":49},[661],{"text":662,"type":579},"Cobalt alone, for example, has seen a three-fold increase in demand from lithium ion batteries in just the last 5 years. Lithium’s price has rocketed by at least 100% in 2016 as a result of increased battery orders.",{"type":574,"attrs":664,"content":665},{"textAlign":49},[666],{"text":667,"type":579},"Meanwhile, the battery grade graphite sector will need to grow at least three fold in four years to keep pace with demand.",{"type":574,"attrs":669,"content":670},{"textAlign":49},[671],{"text":672,"type":579},"The supply chain signs have been there for some time.",{"type":574,"attrs":674,"content":675},{"textAlign":49},[676],{"text":677,"type":579},"Total is seeking, in part, to use the acquisition of Saft to partner with its SunPower division, a producer of solar cells and modules, a business it purchased in 2011. It will also no doubt spend significant further investment to increase battery capacity and enter the utility storage market, an ideal hedge against is oilcentric business.",{"type":574,"attrs":679,"content":680},{"textAlign":49},[681],{"text":682,"type":579},"The production cost of solar cells has crashed from $5/wh in 2006 to 30 cents in 2016.",{"type":574,"attrs":684,"content":685},{"textAlign":49},[686],{"text":687,"type":579},"Meanwhile the cost of producing lithium ion battery cells has fallen from $1,200/kWh to $250-300/kWh in the same period.",{"type":574,"attrs":689,"content":690},{"textAlign":49},[691],{"text":692,"type":579},"Most of all, these decreasing costs have been met by better, more efficient technology.",{"type":574,"attrs":694,"content":695},{"textAlign":49},[696],{"text":697,"type":579},"While the solar industry has gone through its boom, bust, and real growth cycle, lithium ion batteries are just getting started. Unlike solar’s subsidy fueled rise, funding for the battery industry’s capacity growth is coming from inside the industry – sparked by a race to become the lowest cost cell producer.",{"type":574,"attrs":699,"content":700},{"textAlign":49},[701],{"text":702,"type":579},"Both technologies are widely tipped to go hand in hand, a strategy that a number of tech-industrialists are seeking to follow, including Tesla Motors’ Elon Musk, which is now merging with Solar City in California.",{"type":704,"attrs":705,"content":707},"heading",{"level":706,"textAlign":49},3,[708],{"text":709,"type":579}," Total follows Rockefeller, Gates & Zuckerberg",{"type":574,"attrs":711,"content":712},{"textAlign":49},[713],{"text":714,"type":579},"Total’s ambition to enter the battery industry echoes a new policy from The Rockefeller Family Fund to exit all investments in the fossil fuel industry.",{"type":574,"attrs":716,"content":717},{"textAlign":49},[718],{"text":719,"type":579},"The $4bn fund that built its fortune on oil and was created by descendants of the grandfather of the global oil industry, John D Rockefeller, announced in March that it will divest from all fossil fuel holdings “as quickly as possible”, of which ExxonMobil is its highest profile asset.",{"type":574,"attrs":721,"content":722},{"textAlign":49},[723],{"text":724,"type":579},"It also follows the move by Microsoft founder, Bill Gates, to launch the Breakthrough Energy Coalition (BEC) in November 2015, a new initiative that will invest in the low carbon economy supply chain.",{"type":574,"attrs":726,"content":727},{"textAlign":49},[728],{"text":729,"type":579},"This sector includes lithium ion batteries and precursor raw materials, supply chains for which must develop and increase capacities at a rate never seen before in order to feed the world’s growing hunger for batteries.",{"type":574,"attrs":731,"content":732},{"textAlign":49},[733],{"text":734,"type":579},"The BEC has a team of 28 of the world’s wealthiest individuals, with a collective wealth of over $400bn, including Facebook’s Mark Zuckerberg, Virgin Group’s Sir Richard Branson and Alibaba’s Jack Ma.",{"type":574,"attrs":736,"content":737},{"textAlign":49},[738],{"text":739,"type":579},"While Total has made no statements on the future of the oil industry, its strategy is clear with a multi-billion dollar bet that energy storage becomes the new oil.",{"type":574,"attrs":741,"content":742},{"textAlign":49},[743],{"text":744,"type":579},"Now watch the rest of the oil majors follow suit.","Total’s $1.1bn bid for specialist lithium ion battery producer, Saft, expected to be the start of a global trend as oil producers seek hedge against embattled fossil fuel industry",[747],{"slug":562,"name":563,"content":748},{"job_title":565,"image":749,"bio":568,"linkedin":569},{"filename":567},"\u003C!--#storyblok#{\"name\": \"article\", \"space\": \"\", \"uid\": \"efaa6202-eb85-4d27-8cc6-08bf0606937b\", \"id\": \"\"}-->","article",[753,756],{"slug":754,"name":755},"batteries","Batteries",{"slug":757,"name":758},"critical-minerals","Critical Minerals","private",{"id":49,"alt":761,"name":761,"focus":761,"title":761,"source":761,"filename":762,"copyright":761,"fieldtype":763,"meta_data":764,"is_external_url":51},"","https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/db8aed4c25/bm-total-4841a0ae.jpg","asset",{"alt":761,"title":761,"source":761,"copyright":761},"Jul 21, 2016","21st July 2016",[],[],1789982604529]