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the US meet the critical mineral requirements of the climate bill?","can-the-us-meet-the-critical-mineral-requirements-of-the-climate-bill","article/can-the-us-meet-the-critical-mineral-requirements-of-the-climate-bill",{"_uid":557,"date":558,"tags":559,"editor":572,"content":582,"excerpt":743,"featured":50,"reporter":744,"_editable":748,"component":749,"seo_title":553,"categories":750,"visibility":766,"author_company":49,"featured_image":767,"seo_description":743,"author_full_name":49,"author_job_title":49,"formattedDate":772,"formattedArticleDate":773},"653e28bc-05b1-47ac-ae55-5cc6d48931fa","2022-08-16 00:00",[560,563,566,569],{"slug":561,"name":562},"data-visualisation","Data Visualisation",{"slug":564,"name":565},"inflation-reduction-act","Inflation Reduction Act",{"slug":567,"name":568},"usa","USA",{"slug":570,"name":571},"policy","Policy",[573],{"slug":574,"name":575,"content":576},"didi-bostock","Didi Bostock",{"job_title":577,"image":578,"bio":580,"linkedin":581},"Editor - Energy Transition & Economics",{"filename":579},"https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/512x512/2c5ca5c1a3/didi-bostock.jpeg","Didi is the Energy Transition & Economics Editor at Benchmark, covering a broad range of markets across the energy transition. His remit spans from downstream sectors such as BESS and EVs, through to midstream such as new technologies and battery production, to upstream critical minerals mining. He also leads on financial analysis across these supply chains, alongside in-depth policy analysis.\n","https://www.linkedin.com/in/didi-bostock-656342198/",{"type":583,"content":584},"doc",[585,592,597,602,607,610,617,622,627,632,637,642,647,652,657,662,667,672,683,688,693,698,703,708,713,718,723,728,733,738],{"type":586,"attrs":587,"content":588},"paragraph",{"textAlign":49},[589],{"text":590,"type":591},"US critical mineral supply chains are unlikely to meet the targets set in the Inflation Reduction Act in order for automakers to receive tax credits on sales of new electric vehicles, according to an analysis by Benchmark.","text",{"type":586,"attrs":593,"content":594},{"textAlign":49},[595],{"text":596,"type":591},"The act, which is expected to be signed by President Joe Biden on Tuesday, stipulates that a certain percentage of the value of critical minerals in a battery be mined or processed in the US or in a country with which it has a Free Trade Agreement. In addition, there are restrictions on minerals or components from China.",{"type":586,"attrs":598,"content":599},{"textAlign":49},[600],{"text":601,"type":591},"The strict requirements mean US automakers will have to invest considerably in mines and refineries this decade, or increase the deployment of recycled components in their vehicles to make their EVs eligible for the tax credit.",{"type":586,"attrs":603,"content":604},{"textAlign":49},[605],{"text":606,"type":591},"“There are other good elements in the Act, but there’s a little bit of an oversight on the tax credits for the EVs,” George Miller, a senior analyst at Benchmark, said. “I don’t see any car that is going to get the full credit.”",{"type":586,"attrs":608,"content":609},{"textAlign":49},[],{"type":611,"attrs":612,"content":614},"heading",{"level":613,"textAlign":49},4,[615],{"text":616,"type":591},"Meeting the requirements",{"type":586,"attrs":618,"content":619},{"textAlign":49},[620],{"text":621,"type":591},"For the first half of the tax credit, worth $3,750, a certain percentage of the value of critical minerals in a battery must be mined or processed in the US or in a country with which it has a Free Trade Agreement.",{"type":586,"attrs":623,"content":624},{"textAlign":49},[625],{"text":626,"type":591},"The percentage starts at 40% before January 2024, rising to 50% in 2024, 60% in 2025, 70% in 2026 and to 80% in 2027.",{"type":586,"attrs":628,"content":629},{"textAlign":49},[630],{"text":631,"type":591},"On its own, the US lacks both the mining and the processing capacity to approach the requirements. Although some lithium mining capacity is forecast to be online by 2030, this represents just a third of the lithium required to enable all EVs in the country to be eligible for the credit.",{"type":586,"attrs":633,"content":634},{"textAlign":49},[635],{"text":636,"type":591},"To meet the demands of the tax credit will require the US to use around half of Australia’s and Chile’s lithium output suited for battery applications.",{"type":586,"attrs":638,"content":639},{"textAlign":49},[640],{"text":641,"type":591},"Without access to cobalt mined in the DRC and processed in China, the US will struggle to produce EVs eligible for the tax credit. Similarly, without Indonesia as a source of nickel, there will be insufficient nickel available to fulfil the 2030 requirements.",{"type":586,"attrs":643,"content":644},{"textAlign":49},[645],{"text":646,"type":591},"Even less nickel and cobalt is further processed in eligible countries.",{"type":586,"attrs":648,"content":649},{"textAlign":49},[650],{"text":651,"type":591},"Flake graphite of a suitable mesh size for battery applications mined from the US or FTA countries is just 52% of the supply required to produce EV batteries eligible for the credit, according to Benchmark.",{"type":586,"attrs":653,"content":654},{"textAlign":49},[655],{"text":656,"type":591},"To build up the required domestic mining and refining capacity within the timeframe set out by the IRA may therefore be difficult.",{"type":611,"attrs":658,"content":659},{"level":613,"textAlign":49},[660],{"text":661,"type":591},"Homemade Components",{"type":586,"attrs":663,"content":664},{"textAlign":49},[665],{"text":666,"type":591},"The other half of the tax credit comes from having a certain value of the battery components (cathodes and anodes) made or assembled in North America. Up to 2024, this value needs to be 50%, reaching 80% by 2028 and 100% by 2029.",{"type":586,"attrs":668,"content":669},{"textAlign":49},[670],{"text":671,"type":591},"Initially, the cathode will be the focus of this aspect of the credit. The cathode is around 58% of the cost of the cell, compared to the anode which is just 3%. By 2029, however, all of the value of the cell needs to originate from North America.",{"type":586,"attrs":673,"content":674},{"textAlign":49},[675,677,679,681],{"text":676,"type":591},"The region, however, is currently unprepared to meet its own demand. ",{"text":678,"type":591}," North America is on track to have enough capacity to produce enough anode materials for 1m EVs by 2025 and less than ",{"text":680,"type":591},"100,000 EVs in terms of cathode ",{"text":682,"type":591},"by 2025, according to Benchmark. ",{"type":586,"attrs":684,"content":685},{"textAlign":49},[686],{"text":687,"type":591},"By 2030 North American cathode production is forecast to be around 0.3% of global production without further investment, according to Benchmark’s Cathode Forecast.",{"type":586,"attrs":689,"content":690},{"textAlign":49},[691],{"text":692,"type":591},"North American anode production is basically zero, forecast to rise to 0.6% of global supply by 2030.",{"type":586,"attrs":694,"content":695},{"textAlign":49},[696],{"text":697,"type":591},"However, automakers may be able to assemble their battery components in the US via joint ventures with Korean battery companies such as LG Energy Solution, SK Innovation and Samsung SDI.",{"type":611,"attrs":699,"content":700},{"level":613,"textAlign":49},[701],{"text":702,"type":591},"No China or Russia, please",{"type":586,"attrs":704,"content":705},{"textAlign":49},[706],{"text":707,"type":591},"A notable exclusion contained in the Act is that none of the materials contained within the battery can come from “Foreign Entities of Concern”, which include Chinese and Russian companies.",{"type":586,"attrs":709,"content":710},{"textAlign":49},[711],{"text":712,"type":591},"China processes around 73% of the world’s cobalt for batteries, and 59% of the lithium, according to Benchmark, making it difficult for automakers to produce EVs eligible for any of the tax credit.",{"type":586,"attrs":714,"content":715},{"textAlign":49},[716],{"text":717,"type":591},"China also currently produces 91% of the world’s battery cathodes and 92% of the anodes, according to Benchmark’s cathode and anode forecasts.",{"type":611,"attrs":719,"content":720},{"level":613,"textAlign":49},[721],{"text":722,"type":591},"How to get there?",{"type":586,"attrs":724,"content":725},{"textAlign":49},[726],{"text":727,"type":591},"Automakers will now need to invest along the entire supply chain if they are to receive the benefits afforded by the Act. Initially, processing minerals in North America might be easier than building new mines.",{"type":586,"attrs":729,"content":730},{"textAlign":49},[731],{"text":732,"type":591},"In addition, batteries recycled in North America could be a source of the critical minerals without needing to build new mines. Benchmark expects supply of recycled lithium in North America to increase by 300% by 2025 to 7,227 tonnes and recycled nickel to increase by 269% to 7,419 tonnes.",{"type":586,"attrs":734,"content":735},{"textAlign":49},[736],{"text":737,"type":591},"Miller noted that the rest of the Act contains many important provisions for stimulating build-out of the US supply chain such as production tax credits for the production of batteries, electrodes, and processing of minerals. Miners could be eligible for a credit equivalent to 10% of the “costs incurred by the taxpayer with respect to production of such mineral.”",{"type":586,"attrs":739,"content":740},{"textAlign":49},[741],{"text":742,"type":591},"“Ultimately, this is bigger than the EV tax credit,” he said.","US critical mineral supply chains are unlikely to meet the targets set in the Inflation Reduction Act in order for automakers to receive tax credits on sales of new electric vehicles, according to an analysis by Benchmark. The act, which is expected to be signed by President Joe Biden on Tuesday, stipulates that a certain […]",[745],{"slug":574,"name":575,"content":746},{"job_title":577,"image":747,"bio":580,"linkedin":581},{"filename":579},"\u003C!--#storyblok#{\"name\": \"article\", \"space\": \"\", \"uid\": \"653e28bc-05b1-47ac-ae55-5cc6d48931fa\", \"id\": \"\"}-->","article",[751,753,756,759,761,763],{"slug":752,"name":115},"cobalt",{"slug":754,"name":755},"critical-minerals","Critical Minerals",{"slug":757,"name":758},"graphite","Graphite",{"slug":760,"name":8},"lithium",{"slug":762,"name":151},"nickel",{"slug":764,"name":765},"sustainability","Sustainability","private",{"id":49,"alt":768,"name":768,"focus":768,"title":768,"source":768,"filename":769,"copyright":768,"fieldtype":770,"meta_data":771,"is_external_url":51},"","https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/0e120af5f9/bm-the-white-house-1-e1660644407470.jpg","asset",{"alt":768,"title":768,"source":768,"copyright":768},"Aug 16, 2022","16th August 2022",[],[],1789982590864]