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Mid-Nickel",103.5,99.73,3.78,13.78,6.78,[518,519,520,522,524,526,528,530,532,534,536,538],{"date":213,"value":512},{"date":216,"value":513},{"date":219,"value":521},99.19,{"date":222,"value":523},96.02,{"date":225,"value":525},98.23,{"date":467,"value":527},99.24,{"date":329,"value":529},101.29,{"date":339,"value":531},87.61,{"date":341,"value":533},92.44,{"date":344,"value":535},90.96,{"date":347,"value":537},92.24,{"date":350,"value":539},95.09,{"id":541,"uuid":542,"name":543,"slug":544,"full_slug":545,"content":546,"relatedArticles":733,"relatedVideos":734},112468311233075,"80bbe44b-8add-41f5-943b-574df8c67076","CMOC supply ramp-up drives cobalt market to its lowest ebb: Cobalt 2024 in review","cmoc-supply-ramp-up-drives-cobalt-market-to-its-lowest-ebb-cobalt-2024-in-review","article/cmoc-supply-ramp-up-drives-cobalt-market-to-its-lowest-ebb-cobalt-2024-in-review",{"_uid":547,"date":548,"tags":549,"editor":561,"content":571,"excerpt":710,"featured":51,"reporter":711,"_editable":715,"component":716,"seo_title":543,"categories":717,"visibility":726,"author_company":49,"featured_image":727,"seo_description":710,"author_full_name":49,"author_job_title":49,"formattedDate":731,"formattedArticleDate":732},"24adfe70-b627-427a-b65e-15ca3c359f56","2024-12-20 00:00",[550,553,556,558],{"slug":551,"name":552},"china","China",{"slug":554,"name":555},"drc","DRC",{"slug":557,"name":557},"prices",{"slug":559,"name":560},"usa","USA",[562],{"slug":563,"name":564,"content":565},"didi-bostock","Didi Bostock",{"job_title":566,"image":567,"bio":569,"linkedin":570},"Editor - Energy Transition & Economics",{"filename":568},"https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/512x512/2c5ca5c1a3/didi-bostock.jpeg","Didi is the Energy Transition & Economics Editor at Benchmark, covering a broad range of markets across the energy transition. His remit spans from downstream sectors such as BESS and EVs, through to midstream such as new technologies and battery production, to upstream critical minerals mining. He also leads on financial analysis across these supply chains, alongside in-depth policy analysis.\n","https://www.linkedin.com/in/didi-bostock-656342198/",{"type":572,"content":573},"doc",[574,581,586,595,600,605,612,617,622,637,640,645,650,655,660,665,670,677,682,687,692,705],{"type":575,"attrs":576,"content":577},"paragraph",{"textAlign":49},[578],{"text":579,"type":580},"Unprecedentedly strong supply growth from CMOC’s Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) assets culminated in a historically large cobalt supply surplus in 2024, amounting to 37,000 tonnes.","text",{"type":575,"attrs":582,"content":583},{"textAlign":49},[584],{"text":585,"type":580},"“China’s CMOC significantly ramped up cobalt and copper production at its Tenke Fungurume (TFM) and Kisanfu (KFM) sites this year,” said Will Talbot, principal cobalt analyst at Benchmark. “Data published by the company suggests that the sites have been operating substantially above their stated combined capacity for cobalt.”",{"type":575,"attrs":587,"content":588},{"textAlign":49},[589],{"type":590,"attrs":591},"image",{"id":49,"alt":592,"src":593,"title":49,"source":49,"copyright":49,"meta_data":594},"","https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXcRGyhok9Mz-gQAl8E0gRyUSkhHBfFHD8NA_fJVZ3WmJ17UNkw95iCwfOANyn1Z9xi7uGnWyALGsEaOuAF_dhXA5l5_gZY2wtfWoEVSoiEoM5MbAO17swa2sTtKHz1ypRTS8as5xw?key=cHm6b2RmQTm63ntPL3gHZop2",{},{"type":575,"attrs":596,"content":597},{"textAlign":49},[598],{"text":599,"type":580},"CMOC has prioritised growing copper output at the expense of cobalt fundamentals. This is due to prevailing tightness in global copper concentrate supply in 2024 and China’s drive to achieve self-sufficiency in mined copper supply, essential to feed industries of strategic importance to the Chinese government.",{"type":575,"attrs":601,"content":602},{"textAlign":49},[603],{"text":604,"type":580},"In contrast, battery demand growth proved weaker than expected due to a slowdown in electric vehicle (EV) sales growth in Europe and North America, markets in which EVs utilising cobalt-containing cells predominate. EV battery demand grew by 8% year-on-year in 2024.",{"type":606,"attrs":607,"content":609},"heading",{"level":608,"textAlign":49},4,[610],{"text":611,"type":580},"How did prices perform?",{"type":575,"attrs":613,"content":614},{"textAlign":49},[615],{"text":616,"type":580},"The scale of the cobalt market surplus – equivalent to 16% of demand – weighed considerably on prices throughout 2024, with the Benchmark Cobalt Price Index closing 18% lower year-to-date.",{"type":575,"attrs":618,"content":619},{"textAlign":49},[620],{"text":621,"type":580},"“Following the large price swings that characterised the 2022-2023 period, cobalt prices were much more muted, falling continuously throughout 2024,” said Roman Aubry, cobalt price analyst at Benchmark.",{"type":575,"attrs":623,"content":624},{"textAlign":49},[625,627,635],{"text":626,"type":580},"Record levels of production from CMOC’s DRC assets resulted in bumper cobalt hydroxide stockpiles throughout the supply chain, contributing to downward pressure on all cobalt price grades, according to the ",{"text":628,"type":580,"marks":629},"Benchmark Cobalt Price Assessment",[630],{"type":631,"attrs":632},"link",{"href":633,"uuid":49,"anchor":49,"target":49,"linktype":634},"https://www.benchmarkminerals.com/cobalt/data-reports/price-assessments","url",{"text":636,"type":580},". ",{"type":575,"attrs":638,"content":639},{"textAlign":49},[],{"type":575,"attrs":641,"content":642},{"textAlign":49},[643],{"text":644,"type":580},"“Sentiment became steadily more bearish as the scale of CMOC’s supply ramp-up became increasingly clear. Prices approached a level at which many in the market believe could be close to a bottom by year end,” Aubry added.",{"type":606,"attrs":646,"content":647},{"level":608,"textAlign":49},[648],{"text":649,"type":580},"Africa’s Copperbelt emerges as key geopolitical battleground",{"type":575,"attrs":651,"content":652},{"textAlign":49},[653],{"text":654,"type":580},"A key theme in 2024 was the emerging geopolitical competition between the US and China in the African-Copperbelt. US officials reportedly pressured the DRC government to block the sale of Chemaf Resources to Chinese state-owned Norin Mining, a company with ties to the Chinese military, citing strategic concerns. ",{"type":575,"attrs":656,"content":657},{"textAlign":49},[658],{"text":659,"type":580},"In turn, the US actively encouraged Western firms to acquire mines in the DRC – reflecting a strategy to reclaim lost influence in both the DRC and broader Sub-Saharan subcontinent. ",{"type":575,"attrs":661,"content":662},{"textAlign":49},[663],{"text":664,"type":580},"“The US and China are now competing beyond critical minerals security in the Copperbelt,” said Talbot. “Both countries have committed investment to railways through Africa’s resource-rich Copperbelt region in 2024, which expands across Zambia and the DRC.” ",{"type":575,"attrs":666,"content":667},{"textAlign":49},[668],{"text":669,"type":580},"The US-led Lobito Corridor project – which has seen more than $6bn of investment pledged towards it – aims to connect the Copperbelt with the Atlantic port of Lobito in Angola and could allow for more volumes to be shipped to the US or the European markets. ",{"type":575,"attrs":671,"content":672},{"textAlign":49},[673],{"type":590,"attrs":674},{"id":49,"alt":592,"src":675,"title":49,"source":49,"copyright":49,"meta_data":676},"https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXf-2xMXKNaQZ3JcUwQBPKSdJzzNGYiHjgyN0DxPBr8tvjhP9AJQwWxQRJ7Pj6aonyPaSIb1uox-coOuPrZbHkcEqR-a8VU-TA_-2cCTuJ2-j4TccCtILf71rjuGYS3X5iJB1hrhSw?key=cHm6b2RmQTm63ntPL3gHZop2",{},{"type":575,"attrs":678,"content":679},{"textAlign":49},[680],{"text":681,"type":580},"The project aims to facilitate local trade and investment, providing African countries with an alternative to China’s debt-laden Belt and Road Initiative. US officials also revealed plans to extend the project into Tanzania and the Indian Ocean, to create a trans-African railway network.",{"type":575,"attrs":683,"content":684},{"textAlign":49},[685],{"text":686,"type":580},"However, US ambitions are facing strong competition from China, which has announced its own plans for a $2bn refurbishment of the TAZARA railway spanning Tanzania and Zambia to strengthen its long-standing geopolitical and economic interests in the region. ",{"type":606,"attrs":688,"content":689},{"level":608,"textAlign":49},[690],{"text":691,"type":580},"What’s the outlook?",{"type":575,"attrs":693,"content":694},{"textAlign":49},[695,697,703],{"text":696,"type":580},"In 2025, ",{"text":698,"type":580,"marks":699},"Benchmark anticipates",[700],{"type":631,"attrs":701},{"href":702,"uuid":49,"anchor":49,"target":49,"linktype":634},"https://www.benchmarkminerals.com/cobalt/data-reports/forecast",{"text":704,"type":580}," stronger demand growth from the EV sector as markets continue their recovery. But this is unlikely to translate into an improved pricing environment, given the scale of the market’s structural oversupply.",{"type":575,"attrs":706,"content":707},{"textAlign":49},[708],{"text":709,"type":580},"“The market also views the incoming Trump presidency as broadly negative for cobalt prices due to lower Chinese demand on increased tariffs, a stronger dollar due to inflationary policies and a slower pace of the energy transition,” Talbot added.","Unprecedentedly strong supply growth from CMOC’s Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) assets culminated in a historically large cobalt supply surplus in 2024, amounting to 37,000 tonnes. “China’s CMOC significantly ramped up cobalt and copper production at its Tenke Fungurume (TFM) and Kisanfu (KFM) sites this year,” said Will Talbot, principal cobalt analyst at Benchmark. “Data […]",[712],{"slug":563,"name":564,"content":713},{"job_title":566,"image":714,"bio":569,"linkedin":570},{"filename":568},"\u003C!--#storyblok#{\"name\": \"article\", \"space\": \"\", \"uid\": \"24adfe70-b627-427a-b65e-15ca3c359f56\", \"id\": \"\"}-->","article",[718,720,723],{"slug":719,"name":115},"cobalt",{"slug":721,"name":722},"critical-minerals","Critical Minerals",{"slug":724,"name":725},"geopolitics","Geopolitics","private",{"id":49,"alt":592,"name":592,"focus":592,"title":592,"source":592,"filename":728,"copyright":592,"fieldtype":729,"meta_data":730,"is_external_url":51},"https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/dad5925879/bm-etoile-mine-cobalt-1.jpg","asset",{"alt":592,"title":592,"source":592,"copyright":592},"Dec 20, 2024","20th December 2024",[],[],1783682665066]