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Mid-Nickel",103.5,99.73,3.78,13.78,6.78,[518,519,520,522,524,526,528,530,532,534,536,538],{"date":213,"value":512},{"date":216,"value":513},{"date":219,"value":521},99.19,{"date":222,"value":523},96.02,{"date":225,"value":525},98.23,{"date":467,"value":527},99.24,{"date":329,"value":529},101.29,{"date":339,"value":531},87.61,{"date":341,"value":533},92.44,{"date":344,"value":535},90.96,{"date":347,"value":537},92.24,{"date":350,"value":539},95.09,{"id":541,"uuid":542,"name":543,"slug":544,"full_slug":545,"content":546,"relatedArticles":755,"relatedVideos":756},112471492242026,"fdf0a66d-07d8-4cfb-bca5-ee89d25ae2f8","Cobalt stockpile set to enter market as CMOC-Gecamines DRC dispute resolved","cobalt-stockpile-set-to-enter-market-as-cmoc-gecamines-drc-dispute-resolved","article/cobalt-stockpile-set-to-enter-market-as-cmoc-gecamines-drc-dispute-resolved",{"_uid":547,"date":548,"tags":549,"editor":559,"content":569,"excerpt":730,"featured":51,"reporter":731,"_editable":735,"component":736,"seo_title":543,"categories":737,"visibility":746,"author_company":49,"featured_image":747,"seo_description":730,"author_full_name":49,"author_job_title":49,"formattedDate":753,"formattedArticleDate":754},"7e9f3b68-740a-48cc-802e-4d23b9a3add1","2023-04-19 00:00",[550,553,556],{"slug":551,"name":552},"china","China",{"slug":554,"name":555},"cobalt-prices","Cobalt prices",{"slug":557,"name":558},"drc","DRC",[560],{"slug":561,"name":562,"content":563},"didi-bostock","Didi Bostock",{"job_title":564,"image":565,"bio":567,"linkedin":568},"Editor - Energy Transition & Economics",{"filename":566},"https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/512x512/2c5ca5c1a3/didi-bostock.jpeg","Didi is the Energy Transition & Economics Editor at Benchmark, covering a broad range of markets across the energy transition. His remit spans from downstream sectors such as BESS and EVs, through to midstream such as new technologies and battery production, to upstream critical minerals mining. He also leads on financial analysis across these supply chains, alongside in-depth policy analysis.\n","https://www.linkedin.com/in/didi-bostock-656342198/",{"type":570,"content":571},"doc",[572,579,602,607,612,621,628,641,646,651,656,661,666,671,684,692,697,710,715,720,725],{"type":573,"attrs":574,"content":575},"paragraph",{"textAlign":49},[576],{"text":577,"type":578},"The Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) government has lifted its export ban on China’s CMOC ending the ten-month dispute over royalty payments between CMOC and the DRC state-owned Gécamines.","text",{"type":573,"attrs":580,"content":581},{"textAlign":49},[582,584,592,594,600],{"text":583,"type":578},"CMOC continued to operate the mine during the export ban leading to a stockpile of at least ",{"text":585,"type":578,"marks":586},"16,000 tonnes of cobalt hydroxide",[587],{"type":588,"attrs":589},"link",{"href":590,"uuid":49,"anchor":49,"target":49,"linktype":591},"https://source.benchmarkminerals.com/article/the-340-million-stockpile-weighing-on-the-global-cobalt-market","url",{"text":593,"type":578}," Benchmark estimates. With the dispute resolved, this material is now able to ",{"text":595,"type":578,"marks":596},"enter the cobalt market",[597],{"type":588,"attrs":598},{"href":599,"uuid":49,"anchor":49,"target":49,"linktype":591},"https://source.benchmarkminerals.com/article/cobalt-prices-tick-up-4-in-march-but-lack-of-battery-demand-weighs-on-market",{"text":601,"type":578}," which is already expected to be in surplus until 2026, according to Benchmark’s Cobalt Forecast.",{"type":573,"attrs":603,"content":604},{"textAlign":49},[605],{"text":606,"type":578},"This quantity of cobalt will take at least a year to clear and is likely to put downward pressure on cobalt prices which have already dropped 75% from their peak last April.",{"type":573,"attrs":608,"content":609},{"textAlign":49},[610],{"text":611,"type":578},"“On the one hand, this pending tsunami of product has already been baked into today’s bearish prices,” Daniel Fletcher-Manuel, head of prices, data and indices at Benchmark, said. “However, further price erosion through quarter two is likely as suppliers race to offload tonnage before CMOC fully resumes exports.”",{"type":573,"attrs":613,"content":614},{"textAlign":49},[615],{"type":616,"attrs":617},"image",{"id":49,"alt":618,"src":619,"title":49,"source":49,"copyright":49,"meta_data":620},"Cobalt market is in surplus for next few years","https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/444584225f/bm-cobalt-market-balance.png",{},{"type":622,"attrs":623,"content":625},"heading",{"level":624,"textAlign":49},4,[626],{"text":627,"type":578},"Resolved dispute",{"type":573,"attrs":629,"content":630},{"textAlign":49},[631,633,639],{"text":632,"type":578},"In July last year, the DRC government banned CMOC from exporting copper and cobalt from Tenke Fungurume, accusing CMOC of misrepresenting the size of the ",{"text":634,"type":578,"marks":635},"reserves at its mine",[636],{"type":588,"attrs":637},{"href":638,"uuid":49,"anchor":49,"target":49,"linktype":591},"https://source.benchmarkminerals.com/article/congo-court-ejects-china-moly-from-tenke-cobalt-mine",{"text":640,"type":578},", thus impacting the royalty payments to Gécamines–the state-owned company with a 20% stake in the mine.",{"type":573,"attrs":642,"content":643},{"textAlign":49},[644],{"text":645,"type":578},"There have been growing concerns from within the DRC that Chinese companies have undue influence over mining in the country. Benchmark’s Cobalt Forecast shows that Chinese firms have stakes in 18 of the 27 operating cobalt producing assets in the DRC.",{"type":573,"attrs":647,"content":648},{"textAlign":49},[649],{"text":650,"type":578},"This move highlighted the seriousness with which the DRC government is addressing concerns that Chinese companies have disproportionately large amounts of influence over mining in the country.",{"type":573,"attrs":652,"content":653},{"textAlign":49},[654],{"text":655,"type":578},"“I think part of it is setting an example to other producers in the region, saying ‘don’t mess with us’,” Harry Fisher, a project manager at Benchmark, said.",{"type":573,"attrs":657,"content":658},{"textAlign":49},[659],{"text":660,"type":578},"A note on the Hong Kong Exchange published by CMOC yesterday said that the dispute had been resolved and that the company planned to begin exporting again later this month.",{"type":573,"attrs":662,"content":663},{"textAlign":49},[664],{"text":665,"type":578},"The DRC accounted for 73% of the total mined supply of cobalt in 2022. Of this, 13% came from the Tenke Fungurume mine, according to Benchmark’s Cobalt Forecast.",{"type":622,"attrs":667,"content":668},{"level":624,"textAlign":49},[669],{"text":670,"type":578},"Downward pressure on cobalt prices",{"type":573,"attrs":672,"content":673},{"textAlign":49},[674,676,682],{"text":675,"type":578},"Last April, ",{"text":677,"type":578,"marks":678},"cobalt hydroxide prices hit a three-year high",[679],{"type":588,"attrs":680},{"href":681,"uuid":49,"anchor":49,"target":49,"linktype":591},"https://source.benchmarkminerals.com/article/cobalt-prices-fall-by-a-third-since-april-ending-two-year-price-rally",{"text":683,"type":578}," of $76,145 per tonne ($34.54 per pound), according to Benchmark’s Cobalt Price Assessment. Since then, they have dropped 75% to just $18,519 per tonne ($8.40 per pound) this month.",{"type":573,"attrs":685,"content":686},{"textAlign":49},[687],{"type":616,"attrs":688},{"id":49,"alt":689,"src":690,"title":49,"source":49,"copyright":49,"meta_data":691},"Cobalt prices have been falling since April last year","https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/095a24817f/bm-cobal-hydrxide-price-graph.png",{},{"type":573,"attrs":693,"content":694},{"textAlign":49},[695],{"text":696,"type":578},"“Pricing sentiment today really is bearish,” Fletcher-Manuel said. “None of the industry players we’ve spoken to in recent days expect any meaningful uptick in values until later in the year at the earliest”",{"type":573,"attrs":698,"content":699},{"textAlign":49},[700,702,708],{"text":701,"type":578},"If prices do fall further, then this could cause difficulty for all but the largest players such as CMOC and ",{"text":703,"type":578,"marks":704},"Glencore",[705],{"type":588,"attrs":706},{"href":707,"uuid":49,"anchor":49,"target":49,"linktype":591},"https://source.benchmarkminerals.com/article/glencore-and-the-circular-economy-qa-with-kunal-sinha",{"text":709,"type":578},", which had the largest cobalt production in the DRC last year. Such companies are able to supplement their revenue stream from other business areas that aren’t accessible to the smaller players.",{"type":573,"attrs":711,"content":712},{"textAlign":49},[713],{"text":714,"type":578},"“Even with current hydroxide prices, middle tier producers will be making little to no margin,” Fletcher-Manuel said. “Of course, if enough higher cost producers are forced to cut output then this could mean that in six months, eight months, nine months, you’ll have a bit of a rebalancing of the supply-demand dynamic, which could support some price firming.”",{"type":573,"attrs":716,"content":717},{"textAlign":49},[718],{"text":719,"type":578},"There’s also an opportunity for arbitrage, according to Fletcher-Manuel. Cobalt metal prices are still relatively high, so the few Chinese cobalt processors with the capability to do so could buy cheap cobalt hydroxide and convert it into cobalt metal with strong margins.",{"type":573,"attrs":721,"content":722},{"textAlign":49},[723],{"text":724,"type":578},"The low price could also be a boon for cobalt sulphate and cathode producers who are likely to buy large quantities of cheap material, further impacting supply-demand dynamics.",{"type":573,"attrs":726,"content":727},{"textAlign":49},[728],{"text":729,"type":578},"“It would be logical for cobalt sulphate and cathode manufacturers with sufficient warehousing capacity and cashflow to buy ahead,” Fletcher-Manuel said. “However, growing inventories in the midstream would hurt spot sales later in the year, and producers know this. Therefore, where the market ends up is really down to whether major suppliers maintain a level of price discipline or adopt a ‘volume over prices’ sales strategy.”","The Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) government has lifted its export ban on China’s CMOC ending the ten-month dispute over royalty payments between CMOC and the DRC state-owned Gécamines. CMOC continued to operate the mine during the export ban leading to a stockpile of at least 16,000 tonnes of cobalt hydroxide Benchmark estimates. With the dispute […]",[732],{"slug":561,"name":562,"content":733},{"job_title":564,"image":734,"bio":567,"linkedin":568},{"filename":566},"\u003C!--#storyblok#{\"name\": \"article\", \"space\": \"\", \"uid\": \"7e9f3b68-740a-48cc-802e-4d23b9a3add1\", \"id\": \"\"}-->","article",[738,740,743],{"slug":739,"name":115},"cobalt",{"slug":741,"name":742},"critical-minerals","Critical Minerals",{"slug":744,"name":745},"geopolitics","Geopolitics","private",{"id":49,"alt":748,"name":749,"focus":749,"title":748,"source":749,"filename":750,"copyright":749,"fieldtype":751,"meta_data":752,"is_external_url":51},"Puzzle with flags of China and the DRC","","https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/de0103c04c/bm-shutterstock-370655918-1.jpg","asset",{"alt":748,"title":748,"source":749,"copyright":749},"Apr 19, 2023","19th April 2023",[],[],1786466439335]