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prices hit five-month low amid economic uncertainty and oversupply concerns","copper-prices-hit-five-month-low-amid-economic-uncertainty-and-oversupply-concerns","article/copper-prices-hit-five-month-low-amid-economic-uncertainty-and-oversupply-concerns",{"_uid":557,"date":558,"tags":559,"editor":566,"content":576,"excerpt":684,"featured":51,"reporter":685,"_editable":689,"component":690,"seo_title":553,"categories":691,"visibility":698,"author_company":49,"featured_image":699,"seo_description":684,"author_full_name":49,"author_job_title":49,"formattedDate":704,"formattedArticleDate":705},"8e8de821-8709-43e3-848b-ab144dc663f0","2024-08-02 00:00",[560,563],{"slug":561,"name":562},"china","China",{"slug":564,"name":565},"copper-prices","copper prices",[567],{"slug":568,"name":569,"content":570},"didi-bostock","Didi Bostock",{"job_title":571,"image":572,"bio":574,"linkedin":575},"Editor - Energy Transition & Economics",{"filename":573},"https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/512x512/2c5ca5c1a3/didi-bostock.jpeg","Didi is the Energy Transition & Economics Editor at Benchmark, covering a broad range of markets across the energy transition. His remit spans from downstream sectors such as BESS and EVs, through to midstream such as new technologies and battery production, to upstream critical minerals mining. He also leads on financial analysis across these supply chains, alongside in-depth policy analysis.\n","https://www.linkedin.com/in/didi-bostock-656342198/",{"type":577,"content":578},"doc",[579,586,591,606,611,616,623,628,633,638,643,648,653,666,671,676],{"type":580,"attrs":581,"content":582},"paragraph",{"textAlign":49},[583],{"text":584,"type":585},"Copper prices endured eight consecutive days of losses in late July, reaching their lowest level since March. Prices fell below the $9,000 per tonne mark late last week – settling 18% below the all-time peak that was registered in May. ","text",{"type":580,"attrs":587,"content":588},{"textAlign":49},[589],{"text":590,"type":585},"Copper fell as investor sentiment falters due to concerns of oversupply in China, a broader sell-off in equity markets, and growing economic and political uncertainty in the rest of the world. Disappointment at the stimulus-light Third Plenum meeting in China a week earlier compounded matters. ",{"type":580,"attrs":592,"content":593},{"textAlign":49},[594,596,604],{"text":595,"type":585},"Copper stocks too have continued to swell – last week recording their eleventh consecutive week of increase, ",{"text":597,"type":585,"marks":598},"a continuation of the counter-seasonal stock-build observed during the second quarter.",[599],{"type":600,"attrs":601},"link",{"href":602,"uuid":49,"anchor":49,"target":49,"linktype":603},"https://source.benchmarkminerals.com/article/benchmark-shares-key-copper-insights-from-lme-asia-week-2024","url",{"text":605,"type":585}," The majority of this stock-build has occurred at warehouses across Asia, absorbing China’s surplus of refined copper production.",{"type":580,"attrs":607,"content":608},{"textAlign":49},[609],{"text":610,"type":585},"Notably, the Indxx AI and Big Data Index fell by 7.9% last week – dampening copper bulls hopes of a dramatic demand pick-up from copper-intensive AI and data centres in the second half of the year.",{"type":580,"attrs":612,"content":613},{"textAlign":49},[614],{"text":615,"type":585},"Meanwhile, US purchasing managers index (PMI) results in July compounded the prevailing bearish sentiment, recording the first contraction this year. It marked a sharp and unexpected deterioration in the US’ manufacturing sector performance, creating fears of waning consumer demand amid inflation, higher borrowing costs and depleted pandemic savings.",{"type":617,"attrs":618,"content":620},"heading",{"level":619,"textAlign":49},4,[621],{"text":622,"type":585},"Mine supply continues to underperform",{"type":580,"attrs":624,"content":625},{"textAlign":49},[626],{"text":627,"type":585},"It wasn’t all bad news for copper last week, however. There were further indications of mine supply underperformance as miners released quarterly reporting:",{"type":580,"attrs":629,"content":630},{"textAlign":49},[631],{"text":632,"type":585},"Although the Third Plenum meeting was widely interpreted as underwhelming on the stimulus front – particularly for China’s embattled property sector – last week did see the announcement of a number of supportive measures for copper demand in China.",{"type":580,"attrs":634,"content":635},{"textAlign":49},[636],{"text":637,"type":585},"This included interest rate cuts, a major increase in China’s State Grid’s investment budget for this year, as well as subsidies for the purchase of electric vehicles and appliances.",{"type":617,"attrs":639,"content":640},{"level":619,"textAlign":49},[641],{"text":642,"type":585},"Further prices weakness possible, but likely to find downward resistance",{"type":580,"attrs":644,"content":645},{"textAlign":49},[646],{"text":647,"type":585},"Copper prices currently sit $2,000 below their May peak. With a slew of macroeconomic indicators and industry reporting due to be released in early August, any unexpected readings or results could drive sharp price moves in either direction over the short term. ",{"type":580,"attrs":649,"content":650},{"textAlign":49},[651],{"text":652,"type":585},"In the coming weeks the market will closely monitor how Chinese buying responds to the recent rout, for further indications on the future direction of pricing. ",{"type":580,"attrs":654,"content":655},{"textAlign":49},[656,658,664],{"text":657,"type":585},"“Buying appetite has certainly picked up in China lately, with cathode import premiums jumping to the highest level since April. However, the jury is still out on whether this will turn out to be an opportunistic restocking blip, or a more sustained discharge of pent-up demand,” ",{"text":659,"type":585,"marks":660},"Benchmark copper analysts commented in the first edition of the “Copper Weekly” newsletter",[661],{"type":600,"attrs":662},{"href":663,"uuid":49,"anchor":49,"target":49,"linktype":603},"https://www.benchmarkminerals.com/copper-weekly/",{"text":665,"type":585},", released earlier this week.",{"type":580,"attrs":667,"content":668},{"textAlign":49},[669],{"text":670,"type":585},"Although further downward pressure on prices in the coming weeks cannot be ruled out, prices will likely find ~$8,750/tonne to be the next major level of downward resistance. ",{"type":580,"attrs":672,"content":673},{"textAlign":49},[674],{"text":675,"type":585},"“Any lower and copper would retreat into its H2 2023 trading range, and we believe that a potential move into this range would be short-lived. After all, the fundamental outlook is much stronger than it was this time last year, especially on the supply side,” they added.",{"type":580,"attrs":677,"content":678},{"textAlign":49},[679],{"text":680,"type":585,"marks":681},"To receive Benchmark’s “Copper Weekly” newsletter direct to your inbox simply register your details using the below form:",[682],{"type":683},"italic","Copper prices endured eight consecutive days of losses in late July, reaching their lowest level since March. Prices fell below the $9,000 per tonne mark late last week – settling 18% below the all-time peak that was registered in May. Copper fell as investor sentiment falters due to concerns of oversupply in China, a broader […]",[686],{"slug":568,"name":569,"content":687},{"job_title":571,"image":688,"bio":574,"linkedin":575},{"filename":573},"\u003C!--#storyblok#{\"name\": \"article\", \"space\": \"\", \"uid\": \"8e8de821-8709-43e3-848b-ab144dc663f0\", \"id\": \"\"}-->","article",[692,695],{"slug":693,"name":694},"copper","Copper",{"slug":696,"name":697},"critical-minerals","Critical Minerals","public",{"id":49,"alt":700,"name":700,"focus":700,"title":700,"source":700,"filename":701,"copyright":700,"fieldtype":702,"meta_data":703,"is_external_url":51},"","https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/bda8d09aa2/bm-aerial-view-of-santa-rita-strip-copper-mine-near-silver-city-nm.jpg","asset",{"alt":700,"title":700,"source":700,"copyright":700},"Aug 02, 2024","2nd August 2024",[],[],{"id":709,"uuid":710,"name":711,"slug":712,"full_slug":712,"content":713,"relatedArticles":717,"relatedVideos":718},120886048076734,"4b6fbcc0-7881-4fbb-92ee-06d1ed3f3cec","⚙️ Settings","settings",{"_uid":714,"component":712,"black_listed_email_domains":715,"_editable":716,"formattedDate":700,"formattedArticleDate":700},"8dcafbcc-28de-4388-a68e-6b41e24f31bb","direkt.se\nstreetwisereports.com\nalpha-sense.com\nafrica-energy.com\ntcs.com\nmm-markets.com\nsmr-premium.com\nsci99.com\nlondoncib.com\nyeb.com.br\nnewautomotive.org\nsina.com.cn\ngwstrategies.net\noliverwyman.com\ndazeinfo.com\ndataintelo.com\ninfyos.com\nevalueserve.com\ninsightwoo.com\ncrescendoanalytic.com\nipaglobal.com\nweare121.com\nzemek.com\nryancommodityinsights.com\nonyxsi.com\ncostmine.com\nnickhatchmining.com\naethoslabs.com\nmysteel.com\nbuzblox.com\nfutureproofconsulting.com.au\ncmgroup.net\noptelgroup.com\nberylls.com\nreputex.com\nnumber-three.net\nrobertdallison.com\nwsp.com\nafriforesight.com\npaydirt.com.au\nmetal.com\ninforma.com\nfelixstrategy.com\ncrisil.com\nantaike.com\nbatterymaterialsreview.com\nsrk.com\nglobaltrustgrp.com\nnapiermeridian.com\nprojectblue.com\nplutonic-rma.com\nrosaearth.io\ndrivesustainability.org\nminehub.com\nscsglobalservices.com\nLynxglobalintelligence.com\nsphera.com\nminespider.com\nc-resource.com\ntdi-sustainability.com\nkumi.consulting\nsc-insights.com\nkallanish.com\naboutenergy.co.uk\nenant.io\nopisnet.com\nacuitycommodities.com\nevinfocus.com\nsfa-oxford.com\ncrugroup.com\nwoodmac.com\nspglobal.com\nrolandberger.com\nrcsglobal.com\nnornik.ru\nlivista.energy\nihsmarkit.com\ncapitalightresearch.com\namegroup.com\ncapitalight.co\nsustainablelabs.io\ncommoditiesanalysis.co.uk\navicenne.com\nkearney.com\nnornickel.net\n5napier.com\nvoltility.net\ngf.com.cn\nhindenburgresearch.com\ndigbee.com\nadamasintel.com\nac-harvard.com\nsneresearch.com\ninventusbioenergy.com\nproactiveinvestors.com\nauroraer.com\nresourceworld.com\nbatteryline.com\norennia.com\nfastmarkets.com\nmsci.com\nbcg.com\nklinegroup.com\ndelta-ee.com\nskarnassociates.com\nricardo.com\ncleanhorizon.com\np3-group.com\naccenture.com\nporsche-consulting.com\numlaut.com\nadi-analytics.com\ncpmgroup.com\nilimarkets.com\nminviro.com\nmckinsey.com\ncicenergigune.com\ne4tech.com\nargusmedia.com\ndolbear.com\nerm.com\nlithium.org\nradiusq.com\ndigivla.com\njeri.co.jp\ntopology.com.tw\nsaurenergy.com\novaladvisory.com\ngsixenergy.com","\u003C!--#storyblok#{\"name\": \"settings\", \"space\": \"287943243085208\", \"uid\": \"8dcafbcc-28de-4388-a68e-6b41e24f31bb\", \"id\": \"120886048076734\"}-->",[],[],1789748845743]