[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":748},["ShallowReactive",2],{"story-article/copper-supply-expansion-since-2010-offers-reassurance-on-market-tightness-concerns":3,"ticker-data":214},{"id":4,"uuid":5,"name":6,"slug":7,"full_slug":8,"content":9,"relatedArticles":212,"relatedVideos":213},190965795717546,"bf91f239-bb5e-4896-b276-5510df623bb6","Copper supply expansion since 2010 offers reassurance on market tightness concerns","copper-supply-expansion-since-2010-offers-reassurance-on-market-tightness-concerns","article/copper-supply-expansion-since-2010-offers-reassurance-on-market-tightness-concerns",{"_uid":10,"date":11,"tags":12,"editor":31,"content":41,"excerpt":175,"featured":176,"reporter":177,"component":188,"seo_title":189,"categories":190,"visibility":199,"data_vis_image":200,"featured_image":205,"seo_description":209,"formattedDate":210,"formattedArticleDate":211},"dcdddceb-f924-470e-8207-8ae1da2b52d4","2026-06-24 00:00",[13,16,19,22,25,28],{"slug":14,"name":15},"drc","DRC",{"slug":17,"name":18},"peru","Peru",{"slug":20,"name":21},"chile","Chile",{"slug":23,"name":24},"china","China",{"slug":26,"name":27},"data-visualisation","Data Visualisation",{"slug":29,"name":30},"africa","Africa",[32],{"slug":33,"name":34,"content":35},"benjamin-roche","Benjamin Roche",{"job_title":36,"image":37,"bio":39,"linkedin":40},"Editor – Energy Transition Supply Chains",{"filename":38},"https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/800x800/66d6674fb8/benjamin-roche.png","Benjamin is Benchmark's Editor for Energy Transition Supply Chains, covering both upstream products like critical minerals and downstream products including energy storage systems and electric vehicles. He has previous experience covering trade flows, tariffs and the effects of geopolitics on supply chains.","https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminrochecontent/",{"type":42,"content":43},"doc",[44,64,78,92,104,114,119,124,129,136,141,146,153,158,164,169],{"type":45,"attrs":46,"content":48},"paragraph",{"textAlign":47},null,[49,52,62],{"text":50,"type":51},"The ","text",{"text":53,"type":51,"marks":54},"copper market",[55],{"type":56,"attrs":57},"link",{"href":58,"uuid":59,"anchor":47,"target":60,"linktype":61},"/videos/copper-panel-the-conduit-of-the-transition","347f1231-c4d7-44fd-8122-738db44d841b","_blank","story",{"text":63,"type":51}," is often feared to be at risk of a structural shortage leading to near term market tightness. However, these concerns have often proved to be overblown as historically the supply gaps have been filled.",{"type":45,"attrs":65,"content":66},{"textAlign":47},[67,69,76],{"text":68,"type":51},"The slow speed at which ",{"text":70,"type":51,"marks":71},"new mine supply",[72],{"type":56,"attrs":73},{"href":74,"uuid":75,"anchor":47,"target":60,"linktype":61},"/article/five-copper-market-takeaways-from-cesco-week-2026","aac562d8-8005-4973-a83a-ee2fed8470cc",{"text":77,"type":51}," can come online and the expectation for rapidly growing demand from global electrification and accelerating AI adoption reinforces the narrative, and perhaps the price signal, that copper supply is scarce. However, this view may be too focused on how Western mines and Western companies invest in the copper space. Indeed, over the last 15 years, Chinese companies have demonstrated their ability to deploy capital and ramp up mines around the world faster than the conventional 10–20 years considered standard by countries in the West.",{"type":45,"attrs":79,"content":80},{"textAlign":47},[81,83,90],{"text":82,"type":51},"The question facing the market now is whether historical precedent will prove the current concerns of ",{"text":84,"type":51,"marks":85},"market balance",[86],{"type":56,"attrs":87},{"href":88,"uuid":89,"anchor":47,"target":60,"linktype":61},"/article/in-charts-how-copper-demand-shows-us-increasing-import-dependence","94082a94-6cc8-4cc6-892d-d43b5d65687a",{"text":91,"type":51}," to be overblown. In this article, Benchmark explores the forces that have shaped copper supply over the last 15 years.",{"type":93,"attrs":94},"blok",{"id":95,"body":96},"2c4e437d-b0ba-4463-8e26-72dec4d562ac",[97],{"id":98,"_uid":99,"type":100,"component":101,"fixed_height":102,"use_fixed_height":103,"fixed_height_mobile":102,"fixed_height_tablet":102},"29471233","i-3908228c-6ae7-4fda-b61a-a8a7a8c7e8f2","visualisation","ContentFlourish","",false,{"type":105,"attrs":106,"content":108},"heading",{"level":107,"textAlign":47},2,[109],{"text":110,"type":51,"marks":111},"China-driven expansion from DRC",[112],{"type":113},"bold",{"type":45,"attrs":115,"content":116},{"textAlign":47},[117],{"text":118,"type":51},"The often-cited 10–20-year timeline to build a new mine applies largely to Western nations and companies, while Chinese investment in regions like the DRC often expands production more quickly. And while much copper production in the DRC has come from major projects like Kamoa Kakula, plenty is also from smaller solvent extraction and electrowinning (SX-EW) projects, which can get off the ground relatively quickly. SX-EW is a process through which copper is leached with acid rather than the more common concentrating and smelting.",{"type":45,"attrs":120,"content":121},{"textAlign":47},[122],{"text":123,"type":51},"The last 15 years have seen the DRC add almost 3 million tonnes of copper to the market. Despite positive geology for copper in the region, the nation was previously viewed as too unstable for investment. However, its ample resources – and the willingness of Chinese companies in particular to invest – have enabled the large boost in supply.",{"type":45,"attrs":125,"content":126},{"textAlign":47},[127],{"text":128,"type":51},"Supply growth since 2020 has been even more focused in the DRC, with DRC production accounting for ~3 times more growth in mined copper supply since 2020 than the net of the rest of the market. The supply growth from DRC may not be easily replicated elsewhere, however, in the next 10-15 years. It is unlikely China will dial back investment into copper, including the DRC, in the coming years, providing sustained support for supply growth.",{"type":105,"attrs":130,"content":131},{"level":107,"textAlign":47},[132],{"text":133,"type":51,"marks":134},"Chinese investment over longer timescales",[135],{"type":113},{"type":45,"attrs":137,"content":138},{"textAlign":47},[139],{"text":140,"type":51},"Chinese investment, both domestically and overseas, has accounted for 68% of net growth in mined copper supply since 2015. While Western companies tend to face tighter constraints, both from ESG requirements and from return thresholds on new investment, market participants have told Benchmark that Chinese investment is typically less focused on short-term financial returns and more willing to prioritise longer-term strategic value. The Chinese government has also identified copper as a strategically important commodity and has supported investment.",{"type":45,"attrs":142,"content":143},{"textAlign":47},[144],{"text":145,"type":51},"Beyond the DRC, Peru’s growth has also been strong and backed by Chinese capital. Peru’s copper production has grown by over 1.5Mt in the last 15 years, and the nation produces double what it did in 2010. A handful of major projects, namely Las Bambas, Quelleveco, and Toromocho, has led this growth. Both Las Bambas and Toromocho are majority-Chinese-owned assets. Quelleveco is majority-owned by Anglo American with no Chinese ownership.",{"type":105,"attrs":147,"content":148},{"level":107,"textAlign":47},[149],{"text":150,"type":51,"marks":151},"Project size gives DRC ramp-up boost",[152],{"type":113},{"type":45,"attrs":154,"content":155},{"textAlign":47},[156],{"text":157,"type":51},"DRC and Peru’s differing average project sizes have allowed for different paces of growth. In the DRC, 59% of 2025’s production was from mines that produce less than 200kt per year, while in Peru, just 27% of production came from mines of that size. The smaller DRC mines can in theory ramp up more quickly than larger projects.",{"type":93,"attrs":159},{"id":95,"body":160},[161],{"id":162,"_uid":163,"type":100,"component":101,"fixed_height":102,"use_fixed_height":103,"fixed_height_mobile":102,"fixed_height_tablet":102},"29485352","i-374a142c-ad6c-457d-bb0c-7431e689461f",{"type":45,"attrs":165,"content":166},{"textAlign":47},[167],{"text":168,"type":51},"Since 2010, Chile has grown more slowly, with most supply growth coming from the next largest producing countries. In 2010, Chile produced slightly more copper than the next five biggest producers put together; now, the combination of production from the second to sixth biggest producers account for roughly double Chilean production.",{"type":93,"attrs":170},{"id":95,"body":171},[172],{"id":173,"_uid":174,"type":100,"component":101,"fixed_height":102,"use_fixed_height":103,"fixed_height_mobile":102,"fixed_height_tablet":102},"29485610","i-291c76d5-a591-47fc-a240-57fc7ba6412c","The copper market is often feared to be at risk of a structural shortage leading to near term market tightness. However, these concerns have often proved to be overblown as historically the supply gaps have been filled.\n\nThe slow speed at which new mine supply can come online and the expectation for rapidly growing demand from global electrification and accelerating AI adoption reinforces the narrative, and perhaps the price signal, that copper supply is scarce. However, this view may be too focused on how Western mines and Western companies invest in the copper space. Indeed, over the last 15 years, Chinese companies have demonstrated their ability to deploy capital and ramp up mines around the world faster than the conventional 10–20 years considered standard by countries in the West.",true,[178],{"slug":179,"name":180,"content":181},"albert-mackenzie","Albert Mackenzie",{"job_title":182,"image":183,"bio":185,"linkedin":186,"markets_covered":187},"Copper Analyst & Market Reporter",{"filename":184},"https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/717x799/ffff7198e8/albert.jpeg","Albert is Benchmark's copper reporter, covering both supply and demand on the short term and adding narratives to the data and price movements. Albert writes the copper briefing and a lot of Benchmark's near term copper coverage.","https://www.linkedin.com/in/albert-mackenzie-b34681149/","Copper","article","Copper supply since 2010 reassures on market tightness concerns",[191,193,196],{"slug":192,"name":187},"copper",{"slug":194,"name":195},"critical-minerals","Critical Minerals",{"slug":197,"name":198},"raw-materials","Raw Materials","private",{"id":201,"alt":102,"name":102,"focus":102,"title":102,"source":102,"filename":202,"copyright":102,"fieldtype":203,"meta_data":204,"is_external_url":103},190977897725410,"https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/1588x1324/555f1e861d/chilean-copper-supply-has-remained-steady-as-other-supply-has-grown-2x.png","asset",{},{"id":206,"alt":102,"name":102,"focus":102,"title":102,"source":102,"filename":207,"copyright":102,"fieldtype":203,"meta_data":208,"is_external_url":103},129067882986463,"https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/6743d1355b/bm-glencore-katanga-copper-operation-drc.jpg",{},"The copper market is often feared to be at risk of a structural shortage leading to near term market tightness. However, these concerns have often proved to be overblown as historically the supply gaps have been filled.","Jun 24, 2026","24th June 2026",[],[],[215,260,290,320,356,394,436,467,504,536,579,620,658,689,718],{"publishedDate":216,"updateFrequency":217,"updateFrequencyText":218,"label":219,"today":220,"last":221,"percentageChange":222,"yearToDate":223,"yearOnYear":224,"oneYearIndexTrend":225,"url":259,"subscription":47,"isProtected":103,"hasAccess":176},"2026-05-27","2wk","Updated every 2 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Hydroxide",358.35,350.28,2.3,76.32,168.94,[298,299,300,302,304,306,308,310,312,314,316,318],{"date":216,"value":292},{"date":228,"value":293},{"date":230,"value":301},328.09,{"date":233,"value":303},316.95,{"date":236,"value":305},311.86,{"date":239,"value":307},321.41,{"date":242,"value":309},319.14,{"date":245,"value":311},295.42,{"date":248,"value":313},310,{"date":251,"value":315},270.4,{"date":254,"value":317},203.24,{"date":257,"value":319},177.17,{"publishedDate":230,"updateFrequency":321,"updateFrequencyText":322,"label":323,"today":324,"last":325,"percentageChange":326,"yearToDate":327,"yearOnYear":328,"oneYearIndexTrend":329,"url":355,"subscription":47,"isProtected":103,"hasAccess":176},"1wk","Updated every 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Coke",84.01,79.79,5.29,12.86,12.75,[444,445,446,448,450,452,454,456,458,460,462,464],{"date":395,"value":438},{"date":406,"value":439},{"date":408,"value":447},75.72,{"date":411,"value":449},74.61,{"date":388,"value":451},74.44,{"date":416,"value":453},76,{"date":419,"value":455},72.75,{"date":421,"value":457},71.92,{"date":424,"value":459},71.46,{"date":427,"value":461},70.35,{"date":430,"value":463},67.35,{"date":433,"value":465},65.78,"/synthetic-graphite/prices",{"publishedDate":468,"updateFrequency":396,"updateFrequencyText":396,"label":469,"today":470,"last":471,"percentageChange":472,"yearToDate":473,"yearOnYear":473,"oneYearIndexTrend":474,"url":503,"subscription":47,"isProtected":103,"hasAccess":176},"2025-11-17","Anode",77.79,77.96,-0.22,-1.93,[475,476,478,480,482,485,488,490,492,495,498,500],{"date":468,"value":470},{"date":477,"value":471},"2025-10-15",{"date":479,"value":471},"2025-09-15",{"date":481,"value":471},"2025-08-15",{"date":483,"value":484},"2025-07-15",77.93,{"date":486,"value":487},"2025-06-16",78.88,{"date":489,"value":487},"2025-05-15",{"date":491,"value":487},"2025-04-15",{"date":493,"value":494},"2025-03-17",79.89,{"date":496,"value":497},"2025-02-17",78.97,{"date":499,"value":497},"2025-01-15",{"date":501,"value":502},"2024-12-16",79.32,"/anode/prices",{"publishedDate":505,"updateFrequency":396,"updateFrequencyText":396,"label":506,"today":507,"last":508,"percentageChange":509,"yearToDate":509,"yearOnYear":510,"oneYearIndexTrend":511,"url":535,"subscription":47,"isProtected":103,"hasAccess":176},"2026-01-15","Cathode",72.79,64.08,13.59,43.38,[512,513,515,517,519,521,523,525,526,528,530,533],{"date":505,"value":507},{"date":514,"value":508},"2025-12-15",{"date":468,"value":516},62.01,{"date":477,"value":518},53.51,{"date":479,"value":520},49.5,{"date":481,"value":522},47.28,{"date":483,"value":524},46.05,{"date":486,"value":524},{"date":489,"value":527},48.08,{"date":491,"value":529},48.92,{"date":531,"value":532},"2025-03-18",52.79,{"date":496,"value":534},50.86,"/cathode/prices",{"publishedDate":537,"updateFrequency":396,"updateFrequencyText":396,"label":538,"today":539,"last":540,"percentageChange":541,"yearToDate":542,"yearOnYear":543,"oneYearIndexTrend":544,"url":578,"subscription":47,"isProtected":103,"hasAccess":176},"2025-03-31","Lithium 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