[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":1038},["ShallowReactive",2],{"story-article/democratic-led-congress-expected-to-add-scrutiny-to-critical-minerals-deals":3,"ticker-data":496},{"id":4,"uuid":5,"name":6,"slug":7,"full_slug":8,"content":9,"relatedArticles":494,"relatedVideos":495},241237863938626,"c32c1534-abdf-4a00-aa6a-1ade9c1bc1e8","How US midterm results could affect supply chains","democratic-led-congress-expected-to-add-scrutiny-to-critical-minerals-deals","article/democratic-led-congress-expected-to-add-scrutiny-to-critical-minerals-deals",{"_uid":10,"date":11,"tags":12,"editor":22,"content":32,"excerpt":429,"featured":430,"reporter":431,"component":442,"seo_title":6,"categories":443,"visibility":483,"data_vis_image":484,"featured_image":487,"seo_description":491,"side_panel_banner":48,"formattedDate":492,"formattedArticleDate":493},"32644df6-c5da-4a8a-9574-4ce54f50c47e","2026-11-13 00:00",[13,16,19],{"slug":14,"name":15},"usa","USA",{"slug":17,"name":18},"exim-bank","EXIM Bank",{"slug":20,"name":21},"elections","Elections",[23],{"slug":24,"name":25,"content":26},"benjamin-roche","Benjamin Roche",{"job_title":27,"image":28,"bio":30,"linkedin":31},"Editor – Energy Transition Supply Chains",{"filename":29},"https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/800x800/66d6674fb8/benjamin-roche.png","Benjamin is Benchmark's Editor for Energy Transition Supply Chains, covering both upstream products like critical minerals and downstream products including energy storage systems and electric vehicles. He has previous experience covering trade flows, tariffs and the effects of geopolitics on supply chains.","https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminrochecontent/",{"type":33,"attrs":34,"content":36},"doc",{"backgroundColor":35},null,[37,65,130,187,197,202,214,228,235,240,249,256,261,284,289,296,317,322,336,343,364,375,389,394,401],{"type":38,"attrs":39,"content":40},"paragraph",{"textAlign":35},[41,49,60],{"text":42,"type":43,"marks":44},"The Democrats’ landslide victory in the US midterm elections is likely to mean closer review of the ","text",[45],{"type":46,"attrs":47},"textStyle",{"color":48},"",{"text":50,"type":43,"marks":51},"government’s deals",[52,58],{"type":53,"attrs":54},"link",{"href":55,"uuid":35,"anchor":35,"target":56,"linktype":57},"https://intelligence.benchmarkminerals.com/publications/special-issues/trump-one-year-in-review","_blank","url",{"type":46,"attrs":59},{"color":48},{"text":61,"type":43,"marks":62}," on critical minerals in Congress, though support for boosting US production remains bipartisan.",[63],{"type":46,"attrs":64},{"color":48},{"type":38,"attrs":66,"content":67},{"textAlign":35},[68,73,83,88,97,102,111,116,125],{"text":69,"type":43,"marks":70},"Adam Webb, Benchmark’s head of battery raw materials, said: “Federal ",[71],{"type":46,"attrs":72},{"color":48},{"text":74,"type":43,"marks":75},"critical minerals deals",[76,81],{"type":53,"attrs":77},{"href":78,"uuid":79,"anchor":35,"target":56,"linktype":80},"/article/us-department-of-energy-grants-cover-range-of-battery-minerals-and-materials","7e8d71f1-ff50-4d29-96a7-edeecd156ea4","story",{"type":46,"attrs":82},{"color":48},{"text":84,"type":43,"marks":85}," are likely to face greater scrutiny following the US midterms, but there remains bipartisan support for ",[86],{"type":46,"attrs":87},{"color":48},{"text":89,"type":43,"marks":90},"reducing reliance on China",[91,95],{"type":53,"attrs":92},{"href":93,"uuid":94,"anchor":35,"target":56,"linktype":80},"/article/us-rare-earth-supply-chain-faces-tight-2027-defence-procurement-deadline","1e7acccb-141b-4763-9713-37a4344b6734",{"type":46,"attrs":96},{"color":48},{"text":98,"type":43,"marks":99}," for these key raw materials, particularly those used in defence applications. We therefore expect ",[100],{"type":46,"attrs":101},{"color":48},{"text":103,"type":43,"marks":104},"continued government backing",[105,109],{"type":53,"attrs":106},{"href":107,"uuid":108,"anchor":35,"target":56,"linktype":80},"/article/us-invests-2-billion-in-critical-mineral-and-material-supply-chains","84c4211a-606e-40f3-9abc-1cb4604a2c31",{"type":46,"attrs":110},{"color":48},{"text":112,"type":43,"marks":113}," for projects in the US and ",[114],{"type":46,"attrs":115},{"color":48},{"text":117,"type":43,"marks":118},"allied jurisdictions",[119,123],{"type":53,"attrs":120},{"href":121,"uuid":122,"anchor":35,"target":56,"linktype":80},"/article/uk-critical-mineral-supply-chains-exposed-warn-mps","e8457804-13b2-4d42-9e89-ea5f939cd60d",{"type":46,"attrs":124},{"color":48},{"text":126,"type":43,"marks":127},", albeit with a slowdown in deal flow.”",[128],{"type":46,"attrs":129},{"color":48},{"type":38,"attrs":131,"content":132},{"textAlign":35},[133,138,140,145,147,152,154,159,161,166,168,173,175,180,182],{"text":134,"type":43,"marks":135},"The Democrats will hold ",[136],{"type":46,"attrs":137},{"color":48},{"text":139,"type":43},"55 Senate seats",{"text":141,"type":43,"marks":142}," to the ",[143],{"type":46,"attrs":144},{"color":48},{"text":146,"type":43},"Republicans",{"text":148,"type":43,"marks":149},"’",[150],{"type":46,"attrs":151},{"color":48},{"text":153,"type":43}," 44",{"text":155,"type":43,"marks":156},", with Alaska’s full results yet to be confirmed",[157],{"type":46,"attrs":158},{"color":48},{"text":160,"type":43},". Democrats ",{"text":162,"type":43,"marks":163},"will ",[164],{"type":46,"attrs":165},{"color":48},{"text":167,"type":43},"h",{"text":169,"type":43,"marks":170},"o",[171],{"type":46,"attrs":172},{"color":48},{"text":174,"type":43},"ld 254 ",{"text":176,"type":43,"marks":177},"House ",[178],{"type":46,"attrs":179},{"color":48},{"text":181,"type":43},"seats and Republicans 162, with 19 races uncalled. Senate Democrats are short of the 60 votes needed to overcome a filibuster, and neither chamber has the two-thirds needed to override a presidential veto",{"text":183,"type":43,"marks":184},".",[185],{"type":46,"attrs":186},{"color":48},{"type":188,"attrs":189,"content":191},"heading",{"level":190,"textAlign":35},2,[192],{"text":193,"type":43,"marks":194},"Lame-duck priorities could affect defence sourcing and Project Vault",[195],{"type":196},"bold",{"type":38,"attrs":198,"content":199},{"textAlign":35},[200],{"text":201,"type":43},"The outgoing, Republican-led Congress will sit until 3 January when the new Congress convenes. Government funding expires on 11 December, so budget legislation is expected to take priority during the lame-duck period.",{"type":38,"attrs":203,"content":204},{"textAlign":35},[205,207,212],{"text":206,"type":43},"The FY2026 National Defence Authorisation Act (NDAA), signed in December 2025, already ",{"text":208,"type":43,"marks":209},"bars the Pentagon",[210],{"type":53,"attrs":211},{"href":93,"uuid":94,"anchor":35,"target":56,"linktype":80},{"text":213,"type":43}," from buying rare earth magnets, tantalum, tungsten or molybdenum that are mined, refined or produced in China and other nations from 1 January 2027. Gallium and germanium will follow in December 2027. The House version of the FY2027 NDAA would go further, adding rare earth oxides and metals as well as niobium. It also requires suppliers at every tier to certify origin, with full implementation by 2031. It remains pending and needs Senate approval, an agreed final text, and the President’s signature; a compromise in the lame-duck session is the base case.",{"type":38,"attrs":215,"content":216},{"textAlign":35},[217,219,226],{"text":218,"type":43},"The ",{"text":220,"type":43,"marks":221},"Export-Import Bank of the United States",[222],{"type":53,"attrs":223},{"href":224,"uuid":225,"anchor":35,"target":56,"linktype":80},"/article/us-exim-bank-boosts-chiles-cobalt-ambitions-in-effort-to-build-ex-china-supply-chain","1439b3c5-34cd-45bc-aa09-d7e1573f4a89",{"text":227,"type":43}," (EXIM) charter expires on 31 December 2026. A lapse would stop EXIM approving new financing, including any additional support for Project Vault, though EXIM can continue to service existing commitments such as its $10bn loan to the project that was approved in February.",{"type":188,"attrs":229,"content":230},{"level":190,"textAlign":35},[231],{"text":232,"type":43,"marks":233},"Permitting bill faces a narrow legislative window",[234],{"type":196},{"type":38,"attrs":236,"content":237},{"textAlign":35},[238],{"text":239,"type":43},"The Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act aims to accelerate federal approvals for energy infrastructure, including mining and clean technology projects. Among its provisions, the bill would limit legal challenges to federal approvals, including for mines, to 150 days and introduce review deadlines for renewable energy and storage projects. The bill recently cleared a procedural vote in the Senate, with a final Senate vote expected to follow. The House would then need to pass the bill or reconcile it with its own SPEED Act before 3 January.",{"type":38,"attrs":241,"content":242},{"textAlign":35},[243,245],{"text":244,"type":43},"Several factors could delay adoption. These include Democratic demands to restore cancelled clean energy grants, President Trump’s pledge not to approve wind turbines, and competition from funding and spending legislation. If it is not enacted by 3 January, the bill will die with the outgoing Congress and must be reintroduced, giving Democrats, who will control both chambers, more scope to reshape it in 2027",{"text":183,"type":43,"marks":246},[247],{"type":46,"attrs":248},{"color":48},{"type":188,"attrs":250,"content":251},{"level":190,"textAlign":35},[252],{"text":253,"type":43,"marks":254},"Critical minerals deals and funding likely to face closer review",[255],{"type":196},{"type":38,"attrs":257,"content":258},{"textAlign":35},[259],{"text":260,"type":43},"Government-backed critical minerals deals, particularly those involving previous government equity investments and conditional funding, are likely to face greater congressional scrutiny.",{"type":38,"attrs":262,"content":263},{"textAlign":35},[264,266,273,275,282],{"text":265,"type":43},"The need for upstream critical minerals investment has bipartisan support. However, Democratic lawmakers have raised potential conflict-of-interest concerns relating to several Trump administration deals, including those involving ",{"text":267,"type":43,"marks":268},"USA Rare Earth",[269],{"type":53,"attrs":270},{"href":271,"uuid":272,"anchor":35,"target":56,"linktype":80},"/article/usa-rare-earth-acquires-serra-verde","033fd4f7-dd04-42d6-9b9e-d31d2ed1321c",{"text":274,"type":43},", ",{"text":276,"type":43,"marks":277},"Vulcan Elements",[278],{"type":53,"attrs":279},{"href":280,"uuid":281,"anchor":35,"target":56,"linktype":80},"/publications/analysis/vulcan-elements-raises-65m-for-us-rare-earth-magnet-expansion-benchmark-rare-earths","a6ba7078-d23d-4046-8737-b01aac9759e2",{"text":283,"type":43},", and Kaz Resources. The companies were cited for their (indirect) links to the Trump family and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick.",{"type":38,"attrs":285,"content":286},{"textAlign":35},[287],{"text":288,"type":43},"Signed agreements are expected to remain in place. However, increased oversight could include congressional hearings, subpoenas, and additional disclosure requirements. Companies seeking government support could also face stricter conditions. Government-backed deal flows may slow during the first months of 2027 as officials review earlier agreements, creating additional uncertainty for projects dependent on federal support.",{"type":188,"attrs":290,"content":291},{"level":190,"textAlign":35},[292],{"text":293,"type":43,"marks":294},"Existing battery credits likely to remain, with 45X extension possible",[295],{"type":196},{"type":38,"attrs":297,"content":298},{"textAlign":35},[299,301,308,310,315],{"text":300,"type":43},"The election result is not expected to change the existing ",{"text":302,"type":43,"marks":303},"45X manufacturing credit and the 48E investment credit",[304],{"type":53,"attrs":305},{"href":306,"uuid":307,"anchor":35,"target":56,"linktype":80},"/article/us-treasury-and-irs-release-interim-pfe-guidance-for-45x-and-48e-tax-credit-eligibility","42a2536b-f830-4cf1-ac56-b4cc47fed278",{"text":309,"type":43}," for energy storage, as a Democratic Congress lowers the risk of further cuts. No new Section 30D credit or federal greenhouse gas standards are expected before 2029. Congress could nevertheless extend or expand the 45X critical minerals tax credit, which covers 10% of production costs and phases down from 2031, ending after 2033, ",{"text":311,"type":43,"marks":312},"as there is",[313],{"type":46,"attrs":314},{"color":48},{"text":316,"type":43}," bipartisan support for boosting domestic critical minerals production.",{"type":38,"attrs":318,"content":319},{"textAlign":35},[320],{"text":321,"type":43},"A pending bipartisan bill, H.R. 3200, introduced by Representatives Ruiz and Evans, would raise the credit for electrode active materials (cathode and anode materials) from 10% to 25%, addressing the midstream gap in the US supply chain, and requiring extraction or processing in the US or a free trade partner, or recycling in North America.",{"type":38,"attrs":323,"content":324},{"textAlign":35},[325,327,334],{"text":326,"type":43},"Bryan Bille, geopolitical risk and policy analyst at Benchmark, said: “The outlook for ",{"text":328,"type":43,"marks":329},"US battery manufacturing",[330],{"type":53,"attrs":331},{"href":332,"uuid":333,"anchor":35,"target":56,"linktype":80},"/article/us-automakers-dial-back-north-american-battery-manufacturing-investments-ceding-control-to-south-korean-partners","611420ac-67d7-456e-9c49-b54a1fa075f1",{"text":335,"type":43}," seems to have improved already following the recent DoE Battery Industry Strategy, and now even moreso with a Democratic-led Congress. This may be particularly good news for addressing the US midstream gap, where cathode and anode capacity are still far short of demand. Downstream demand is expected to remain the weak spot of the supply chain, with no restoration of the EV purchase credit or federal emissions standards expected before 2029.”",{"type":188,"attrs":337,"content":338},{"level":190,"textAlign":35},[339],{"text":340,"type":43,"marks":341},"State policies to shape data centre and BESS demand",[342],{"type":196},{"type":38,"attrs":344,"content":345},{"textAlign":35},[346,353,355,362],{"text":347,"type":43,"marks":348},"Data centres",[349],{"type":53,"attrs":350},{"href":351,"uuid":352,"anchor":35,"target":56,"linktype":80},"/article/nextera-acquires-dominion-energy-as-us-data-centre-demand-drives-energy-storage-growth","213c7915-b6a1-48e4-9d82-9a263f102c25",{"text":354,"type":43}," were a ",{"text":356,"type":43,"marks":357},"major election issue",[358],{"type":53,"attrs":359},{"href":360,"uuid":361,"anchor":35,"target":56,"linktype":80},"/videos/trends-in-the-us-data-centre-market","62192cf3-19de-4b70-b588-945a0e720b6f",{"text":363,"type":43},", and state-level results could affect the battery energy storage system (BESS) market.",{"type":365,"attrs":366},"blok",{"id":367,"body":368},"98d9c41d-9cdf-4731-952d-def0a9e6bdfd",[369],{"id":370,"_uid":371,"type":372,"component":373,"fixed_height":48,"use_fixed_height":374,"fixed_height_mobile":48,"fixed_height_tablet":48},"30906912","i-d0e19817-b8eb-47dd-b835-52d42334e954","visualisation","ContentFlourish",false,{"type":38,"attrs":376,"content":377},{"textAlign":35},[378,380,387],{"text":379,"type":43},"Governors-elect in states including Texas, Georgia, Ohio, and Wisconsin campaigned on pausing or conditionally approving ",{"text":381,"type":43,"marks":382},"data centre projects",[383],{"type":53,"attrs":384},{"href":385,"uuid":386,"anchor":35,"target":56,"linktype":80},"/videos/keynote-data-presentation-ess-stabilising-the-grid-in-the-age-of-ai-and-data-centers","554bbf14-2285-4464-b95f-8958bfb27b3b",{"text":388,"type":43},". Texas already has a pause, ordered by outgoing Republican governor Abbott in August.",{"type":38,"attrs":390,"content":391},{"textAlign":35},[392],{"text":393,"type":43},"Conditions that require developers to fund grid upgrades, provide their own generation capacity, or support additional renewable energy could favour co-located energy storage. The impact will depend on how individual states implement permitting, grid connection, and renewable energy rules.",{"type":188,"attrs":395,"content":396},{"level":190,"textAlign":35},[397],{"text":398,"type":43,"marks":399},"FEOC rules and China tariffs unlikely to be loosened",[400],{"type":196},{"type":38,"attrs":402,"content":403},{"textAlign":35},[404,406,413,415,420,422,427],{"text":405,"type":43},"Foreign entity of concern (FEOC) and ",{"text":407,"type":43,"marks":408},"anti-China sourcing rules",[409],{"type":53,"attrs":410},{"href":411,"uuid":412,"anchor":35,"target":56,"linktype":80},"/article/us-considering-ban-on-chinese-inverters","19b3aade-daab-498d-a293-00864e39c10a",{"text":414,"type":43}," have bipartisan support and are unlikely to be loosened. Congress could roll back some tariffs, but it would need a House majority, 60 Senate votes and Trump’s signature",{"text":416,"type":43,"marks":417}," in one case",[418],{"type":46,"attrs":419},{"color":48},{"text":421,"type":43},", or 67 senators and 290 House members ",{"text":423,"type":43,"marks":424},"in another, ",[425],{"type":46,"attrs":426},{"color":48},{"text":428,"type":43},"to override a veto. Section 301 tariffs on Chinese goods and Section 232 tariffs are therefore expected to remain in place, given their bipartisan support.","The Democrats’ landslide victory in the US mid-term elections is likely to mean closer review of the government’s deals on critical minerals in Congress, though support for boosting US production remains bipartisan.\n\nAdam Webb, Benchmark’s head of battery raw materials, said: “Federal critical minerals deals are likely to face greater scrutiny following the US midterms, but there remains bipartisan support for reducing reliance on China for these key raw materials, particularly those used in defence applications. We therefore expect continued government backing for projects in the US and allied jurisdictions, albeit with a slowdown in deal flow.”",true,[432],{"slug":433,"name":434,"content":435},"bryan-bille","Bryan Bille",{"job_title":436,"image":437,"bio":439,"linkedin":440,"markets_covered":441},"Lead Analyst - Government Policy",{"filename":438},"https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/512x512/1491bc3cc9/bryan-bille.jpeg","Bryan has more than 8 years of policy and geopolitical experience covering numerous areas, such as international trade, industrial policy, critical minerals, battery and EV supply chains and the broader energy transition. Bryan currently oversees Benchmark Mineral Intelligence’s policy and geopolitical coverage and leads Benchmark’s strategic outreach to policymakers. Before joining Benchmark, Bryan obtained a degree in corporate law from the University of Antwerp and an international political economy degree from King’s College London. He also held various positions within the Belgian diplomatic corps and politics, where he was involved in multiple policy issues and international negotiations at the EU level. ","https://www.linkedin.com/in/bryanbille/","Critical Mineral, Battery and EV Supply ","article",[444,447,450,453,456,459,462,465,468,471,474,477,480],{"slug":445,"name":446},"batteries","Batteries",{"slug":448,"name":449},"anode","Anode",{"slug":451,"name":452},"cathode","Cathode",{"slug":454,"name":455},"critical-minerals","Critical Minerals",{"slug":457,"name":458},"ess","ESS",{"slug":460,"name":461},"ev","EV",{"slug":463,"name":464},"geopolitics","Geopolitics",{"slug":466,"name":467},"gigafactories","Battery & Gigafactory",{"slug":469,"name":470},"graphite","Graphite",{"slug":472,"name":473},"lithium","Lithium",{"slug":475,"name":476},"rare-earths","Rare Earths",{"slug":478,"name":479},"raw-materials","Raw Materials",{"slug":481,"name":482},"tungsten","Tungsten","private",{"id":35,"alt":35,"name":48,"focus":35,"title":35,"source":35,"filename":48,"copyright":35,"fieldtype":485,"meta_data":486},"asset",{},{"id":488,"alt":48,"name":48,"focus":48,"title":48,"source":48,"filename":489,"copyright":48,"fieldtype":485,"meta_data":490,"is_external_url":374},241239336869096,"https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/5409x3599/51f19e44d2/us-united-states-usa-election-flag-ballot.jpeg",{},"The Democrats’ landslide victory in the US mid-term elections is likely to mean closer review of the government’s deals on critical minerals in Congress, though support for boosting US production remains bipartisan.","Nov 13, 2026","13th November 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