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innovation: is it different this time?","disruptive-innovation","article/disruptive-innovation",{"_uid":557,"date":558,"tags":559,"editor":560,"content":570,"excerpt":868,"featured":50,"reporter":869,"component":873,"seo_title":553,"categories":874,"visibility":881,"author_company":882,"featured_image":883,"seo_description":868,"author_full_name":882,"author_job_title":882,"formattedDate":886,"formattedArticleDate":887},"bb6f46fe-0f85-4d30-8e7a-f0e5ef72f353","2015-06-30 00:00",[],[561],{"slug":562,"name":563,"content":564},"matthew-bird","Matthew Bird",{"job_title":565,"image":566,"bio":568,"linkedin":569},"Senior Editor - Supply Chains & Data Visualisation",{"filename":567},"https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/512x512/14738033ec/matthew-bird.jpeg","Matthew writes, edits and produces content for Benchmark Intelligence and Benchmark Source across the whole mine to grid supply chain. He also acts as a liaison to the press. He has a PhD in electrochemistry from the University of Nottingham.","https://www.linkedin.com/in/birdmatthew/",{"type":571,"content":572},"doc",[573,591,596,618,627,634,647,660,677,700,705,714,725,734,747,768,773,778,793,808,821,836,849],{"type":574,"attrs":575,"content":576},"paragraph",{"textAlign":49},[577,583,587],{"text":578,"type":579,"marks":580},"House Mountain Partners’ Chris Berry looks at the","text",[581],{"type":582},"italic",{"text":584,"type":579,"marks":585},"threats and opportunities for the battery and renewable",[586],{"type":582},{"text":588,"type":579,"marks":589},"energy sectors and asks: Is it different this time?",[590],{"type":582},{"type":574,"attrs":592,"content":593},{"textAlign":49},[594],{"text":595,"type":579},"“It happens slowly, then all at once.”",{"type":574,"attrs":597,"content":598},{"textAlign":49},[599,601,603,605,607,616],{"text":600,"type":579},"When Ernest Hemingway wrote this quote in his 1926 novel titled The",{"text":602,"type":579},"\nSun Also Rises, he could hardly imagined how pertinent the phrase",{"text":604,"type":579},"\nwould be 89 years later when applied to the critical minerals and metals",{"text":606,"type":579},"\nsector and associated ",{"text":608,"type":579,"marks":609},"supply chains",[610],{"type":611,"attrs":612},"link",{"href":613,"uuid":49,"anchor":49,"target":614,"linktype":615},"https://www.benchmarkminerals.com/supply-chain-data","_blank","url",{"text":617,"type":579},".",{"type":574,"attrs":619,"content":620},{"textAlign":49},[621,623,625],{"text":622,"type":579},"While the comparisons to Hemingway’s novel and today’s world",{"text":624,"type":579},"\nmay end there, it does seem as if there are several forces converging to",{"text":626,"type":579},"\naccelerate change on a massive scale.",{"type":574,"attrs":628,"content":629},{"textAlign":49},[630,632],{"text":631,"type":579},"These forces which underpin technological disruption and innovation",{"text":633,"type":579},"\nare not new.",{"type":574,"attrs":635,"content":636},{"textAlign":49},[637,639,641,643,645],{"text":638,"type":579},"Primary among these is the continued increase in computing power",{"text":640,"type":579},"\nand with it the decrease in cost. According to IBM, from the beginning of",{"text":642,"type":579},"\nrecorded time to 2003 humans created 5 billion gigabytes (GB) of data.",{"text":644,"type":579},"\nIn 2011, the same amount was created every two days. By 2013, the",{"text":646,"type":579},"\nsame amount was created every ten minutes.",{"type":574,"attrs":648,"content":649},{"textAlign":49},[650,652,654,656,658],{"text":651,"type":579},"The advances in computing power driven by Moore’s Law style",{"text":653,"type":579},"\ncost declines have served to make computing technology practically",{"text":655,"type":579},"\nubiquitous around the globe. The leveling of the global playing field",{"text":657,"type":579},"\nthrough easy access to massive amounts of information can only help",{"text":659,"type":579},"\npush innovation and entrepreneurialism forward.",{"type":574,"attrs":661,"content":662},{"textAlign":49},[663,665,667,669,671,673,675],{"text":664,"type":579},"Second, despite headlines to the contrary, globalisation slowly",{"text":666,"type":579},"\ncontinues to power forward as the world’s middle class enlarges its",{"text":668,"type":579},"\nranks, primarily in Asia. According to The World Bank, China is only",{"text":670,"type":579},"\n53% urbanised and India is 32% urbanised. Many economist and",{"text":672,"type":579},"\ndemographers believe that a society is fully urbanised at 75%. Clearly",{"text":674,"type":579},"\nseveral hundred million citizens in these countries have yet to experience",{"text":676,"type":579},"\na higher quality of life through a more commodity centered lifestyle.",{"type":574,"attrs":678,"content":679},{"textAlign":49},[680,682,684,686,692,694,696,698],{"text":681,"type":579},"Third, sustainable growth, driven by disruptive technologies and",{"text":683,"type":579},"\nbusiness models will continue to be of paramount importance. With the",{"text":685,"type":579},"\nprice of ",{"text":687,"type":579,"marks":688},"lithium",[689],{"type":611,"attrs":690},{"href":691,"uuid":49,"anchor":49,"target":614,"linktype":615},"https://www.benchmarkminerals.com/lithium",{"text":693,"type":579},"-ion batteries, per kilowatt-hour, falling at roughly 14%",{"text":695,"type":579},"\nper year, and the price per watt of solar power also declining rapidly,",{"text":697,"type":579},"\ncombining these technologies is an example of how access to and use",{"text":699,"type":579},"\nof energy will change to the betterment of humanity.",{"type":574,"attrs":701,"content":702},{"textAlign":49},[703],{"text":704,"type":579},"Threats to Growth",{"type":574,"attrs":706,"content":707},{"textAlign":49},[708,710,712],{"text":709,"type":579},"According to a study by Bank of America Merrill Lynch, solar and wind",{"text":711,"type":579},"\npower are forecast to comprise 80% of new electricity generating",{"text":713,"type":579},"\ncapacity to 2030.",{"type":574,"attrs":715,"content":716},{"textAlign":49},[717,719,721,723],{"text":718,"type":579},"There are more statistics like these which bolster the bullish case for the",{"text":720,"type":579},"\nmetals and minerals consumed in battery and electricity supply chains,",{"text":722,"type":579},"\nhowever they must be set aside to present a balanced analysis of the",{"text":724,"type":579},"\nfuture by pointing out some of the threats to this growth thesis.",{"type":574,"attrs":726,"content":727},{"textAlign":49},[728,730,732],{"text":729,"type":579},"Though positive momentum is obvious, there are threats to the thesis",{"text":731,"type":579},"\nof technology fuelled growth. First among them concerns the billions of",{"text":733,"type":579},"\ndollars in R&D money being funneled into building a better battery.",{"type":574,"attrs":735,"content":736},{"textAlign":49},[737,739,741,743,745],{"text":738,"type":579},"The raw materials and pros and cons for various lithium-ion",{"text":740,"type":579},"\nchemistries are well known and the individual(s) who can overcome",{"text":742,"type":579},"\nthese limitations – cycle life or power density, for example – will go",{"text":744,"type":579},"\ndown in history as having solved one of the great physics and chemistry",{"text":746,"type":579},"\nchallenges of our time.",{"type":574,"attrs":748,"content":749},{"textAlign":49},[750,752,754,756,758,760,766],{"text":751,"type":579},"With various companies currently building multi-billion dollar supply",{"text":753,"type":579},"\nchains around existing chemistries, what would a breakthrough mean",{"text":755,"type":579},"\nfor their respective businesses if such a development rendered certain",{"text":757,"type":579},"\nraw materials obsolete? Perhaps a lithium ion battery with little or no",{"text":759,"type":579},"\n",{"text":761,"type":579,"marks":762},"cobalt",[763],{"type":611,"attrs":764},{"href":765,"uuid":49,"anchor":49,"target":614,"linktype":615},"https://www.benchmarkminerals.com/cobalt",{"text":767,"type":579},"? Could these supply chains adjust?",{"type":574,"attrs":769,"content":770},{"textAlign":49},[771],{"text":772,"type":579},"These are questions worth considering despite the to commercialise time it would take new battery chemistry.",{"type":574,"attrs":774,"content":775},{"textAlign":49},[776],{"text":777,"type":579},"Technology may not be the savior we believe it to be after all.",{"type":574,"attrs":779,"content":780},{"textAlign":49},[781,783,785,787,789,791],{"text":782,"type":579},"A second challenge concerns the performance of the macro",{"text":784,"type":579},"\neconomy since the Great Recession. It is now believed that excessive",{"text":786,"type":579},"\nsovereign debt issuance effectively bridged the gap in an attempt to",{"text":788,"type":579},"\nrevive demand. As an example, China implemented a 4 trillion RMB",{"text":790,"type":579},"\n($586 billion) stimulus package focused on loans to local governments",{"text":792,"type":579},"\nand the real estate sector.",{"type":574,"attrs":794,"content":795},{"textAlign":49},[796,798,800,802,804,806],{"text":797,"type":579},"These debts must ultimately be repaid and",{"text":799,"type":579},"\nwithout delving into a financial debate, growth must increase to cover",{"text":801,"type":579},"\ndebt service payments. Any sustained decline in growth could put a lid",{"text":803,"type":579},"\non domestic demand and hinder the impressive growth trajectory of",{"text":805,"type":579},"\nrenewable electricity sources which require a wealth of critical metals",{"text":807,"type":579},"\nand minerals.",{"type":574,"attrs":809,"content":810},{"textAlign":49},[811,813,815,817,819],{"text":812,"type":579},"A close eye on the performance of China’s economy is imperative.",{"text":814,"type":579},"\nA final issue concerns raw material access. The potential impact on",{"text":816,"type":579},"\ndemand for critical battery materials including lithium, cobalt, and",{"text":818,"type":579},"\ngraphite should be well known to followers of Benchmark Mineral",{"text":820,"type":579},"\nIntelligence.",{"type":574,"attrs":822,"content":823},{"textAlign":49},[824,826,828,830,832,834],{"text":825,"type":579},"There is no doubt that there is enough of these materials",{"text":827,"type":579},"\nin resource, but is there enough of each mineable and available to",{"text":829,"type":579},"\nintegrate into existing and soon-to-be built battery supply chains?",{"text":831,"type":579},"\nThis question, above all others, looms largest. At what cost? How will",{"text":833,"type":579},"\naccessing raw materials affect their margins? Economics matters at",{"text":835,"type":579},"\nevery point along a supply chain.",{"type":574,"attrs":837,"content":838},{"textAlign":49},[839,841,843,845,847],{"text":840,"type":579},"Fortunately, we are likely to learn the answer to these and other",{"text":842,"type":579},"\nquestions very soon. As technology, urbanisation, and sustainability",{"text":844,"type":579},"\nconverge, it appears that the lithium-ion battery revolution is no longer",{"text":846,"type":579},"\nhappening slowly, but all at once, a fact even Mr. Hemingway would",{"text":848,"type":579},"\nmarvel at.",{"type":574,"attrs":850,"content":851},{"textAlign":49},[852,856,860,864],{"text":853,"type":579,"marks":854},"Chris Berry is Co-Founder of New York-based House Mountain",[855],{"type":582},{"text":857,"type":579,"marks":858},"Partners LLC. He is a writer, speaker and analyst focused on the",[859],{"type":582},{"text":861,"type":579,"marks":862},"dynamism of energy metals and is co-author of The Disruptive",[863],{"type":582},{"text":865,"type":579,"marks":866},"Discoveries Journal.",[867],{"type":582},"“It happens slowly, then all at once.” Ernest Hemmingway",[870],{"slug":562,"name":563,"content":871},{"job_title":565,"image":872,"bio":568,"linkedin":569},{"filename":567},"article",[875,878],{"slug":876,"name":877},"batteries","Batteries",{"slug":879,"name":880},"critical-minerals","Critical Minerals","public","",{"id":49,"alt":882,"name":882,"focus":882,"title":882,"source":882,"filename":882,"copyright":882,"fieldtype":884,"meta_data":885,"is_external_url":50},"asset",{"alt":882,"title":882,"source":882,"copyright":882},"Jun 30, 2015","30th June 2015",[],[],{"id":891,"uuid":892,"name":893,"slug":894,"full_slug":894,"content":895,"relatedArticles":899,"relatedVideos":900},120886048076734,"4b6fbcc0-7881-4fbb-92ee-06d1ed3f3cec","⚙️ Settings","settings",{"_uid":896,"component":894,"black_listed_email_domains":897,"_editable":898,"formattedDate":882,"formattedArticleDate":882},"8dcafbcc-28de-4388-a68e-6b41e24f31bb","direkt.se\nstreetwisereports.com\nalpha-sense.com\nafrica-energy.com\ntcs.com\nmm-markets.com\nsmr-premium.com\nsci99.com\nlondoncib.com\nyeb.com.br\nnewautomotive.org\nsina.com.cn\ngwstrategies.net\noliverwyman.com\ndazeinfo.com\ndataintelo.com\ninfyos.com\nevalueserve.com\ninsightwoo.com\ncrescendoanalytic.com\nipaglobal.com\nweare121.com\nzemek.com\nryancommodityinsights.com\nonyxsi.com\ncostmine.com\nnickhatchmining.com\naethoslabs.com\nmysteel.com\nbuzblox.com\nfutureproofconsulting.com.au\ncmgroup.net\noptelgroup.com\nberylls.com\nreputex.com\nnumber-three.net\nrobertdallison.com\nwsp.com\nafriforesight.com\npaydirt.com.au\nmetal.com\ninforma.com\nfelixstrategy.com\ncrisil.com\nantaike.com\nbatterymaterialsreview.com\nsrk.com\nglobaltrustgrp.com\nnapiermeridian.com\nprojectblue.com\nplutonic-rma.com\nrosaearth.io\ndrivesustainability.org\nminehub.com\nscsglobalservices.com\nLynxglobalintelligence.com\nsphera.com\nminespider.com\nc-resource.com\ntdi-sustainability.com\nkumi.consulting\nsc-insights.com\nkallanish.com\naboutenergy.co.uk\nenant.io\nopisnet.com\nacuitycommodities.com\nevinfocus.com\nsfa-oxford.com\ncrugroup.com\nwoodmac.com\nspglobal.com\nrolandberger.com\nrcsglobal.com\nnornik.ru\nlivista.energy\nihsmarkit.com\ncapitalightresearch.com\namegroup.com\ncapitalight.co\nsustainablelabs.io\ncommoditiesanalysis.co.uk\navicenne.com\nkearney.com\nnornickel.net\n5napier.com\nvoltility.net\ngf.com.cn\nhindenburgresearch.com\ndigbee.com\nadamasintel.com\nac-harvard.com\nsneresearch.com\ninventusbioenergy.com\nproactiveinvestors.com\nauroraer.com\nresourceworld.com\nbatteryline.com\norennia.com\nfastmarkets.com\nmsci.com\nbcg.com\nklinegroup.com\ndelta-ee.com\nskarnassociates.com\nricardo.com\ncleanhorizon.com\np3-group.com\naccenture.com\nporsche-consulting.com\numlaut.com\nadi-analytics.com\ncpmgroup.com\nilimarkets.com\nminviro.com\nmckinsey.com\ncicenergigune.com\ne4tech.com\nargusmedia.com\ndolbear.com\nerm.com\nlithium.org\nradiusq.com\ndigivla.com\njeri.co.jp\ntopology.com.tw\nsaurenergy.com\novaladvisory.com\ngsixenergy.com","\u003C!--#storyblok#{\"name\": \"settings\", \"space\": \"287943243085208\", \"uid\": \"8dcafbcc-28de-4388-a68e-6b41e24f31bb\", \"id\": \"120886048076734\"}-->",[],[],1792773949550]