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down","how-lfp-cathode-competition-has-driven-prices-down","article/how-lfp-cathode-competition-has-driven-prices-down",{"_uid":547,"date":548,"tags":549,"editor":558,"content":568,"excerpt":745,"featured":51,"reporter":746,"_editable":750,"component":751,"seo_title":543,"categories":752,"visibility":766,"author_company":49,"data_vis_image":767,"featured_image":771,"seo_description":745,"author_full_name":49,"author_job_title":49,"formattedDate":774,"formattedArticleDate":775},"125c300d-7660-4121-a791-cfb70b330f38","2024-03-08 00:00",[550,553,556],{"slug":551,"name":552},"cathode-prices","Cathode prices",{"slug":554,"name":555},"data-visualisation","Data Visualisation",{"slug":557,"name":451},"lfp",[559],{"slug":560,"name":561,"content":562},"didi-bostock","Didi Bostock",{"job_title":563,"image":564,"bio":566,"linkedin":567},"Editor - Energy Transition & Economics",{"filename":565},"https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/512x512/2c5ca5c1a3/didi-bostock.jpeg","Didi is the Energy Transition & Economics Editor at Benchmark, covering a broad range of markets across the energy transition. His remit spans from downstream sectors such as BESS and EVs, through to midstream such as new technologies and battery production, to upstream critical minerals mining. He also leads on financial analysis across these supply chains, alongside in-depth policy analysis.\n","https://www.linkedin.com/in/didi-bostock-656342198/",{"type":569,"content":570},"doc",[571,588,601,621,632,645,650,659,666,679,684,692,697,702,707,712,717,722,727,732,740],{"type":572,"attrs":573,"content":574},"paragraph",{"textAlign":49},[575,578,586],{"text":576,"type":577},"Capacity for the production of lithium iron phosphate (LFP) cathode material is significantly exceeding demand for the material, ","text",{"text":579,"type":577,"marks":580},"driving down prices",[581],{"type":582,"attrs":583},"link",{"href":584,"uuid":49,"anchor":49,"target":49,"linktype":585},"https://source.benchmarkminerals.com/article/what-to-expect-for-cathode-markets-in-2024","url",{"text":587,"type":577},".",{"type":572,"attrs":589,"content":590},{"textAlign":49},[591,593,599],{"text":592,"type":577},"This year, LFP production capacity is set to be 76% higher than the ",{"text":594,"type":577,"marks":595},"forecast demand",[596],{"type":582,"attrs":597},{"href":598,"uuid":49,"anchor":49,"target":49,"linktype":585},"https://www.benchmarkminerals.com/forecasts/cathode/reports/",{"text":600,"type":577}," for the material. This overcapacity is expected to increase to 127% in 2025. A significant quantity of this supply, however, is set to come from cathode material producers not qualified to supply the Western automotive market.",{"type":572,"attrs":602,"content":603},{"textAlign":49},[604,606,612,614,620],{"text":605,"type":577},"This, in part, pushed ",{"text":607,"type":577,"marks":608},"LFP cathode material prices down",[609],{"type":582,"attrs":610},{"href":611,"uuid":49,"anchor":49,"target":49,"linktype":585},"https://source.benchmarkminerals.com/article/chinese-lfp-cathode-prices-hit-17-month-low-as-producers-cut-prices-due-to-weak-demand",{"text":613,"type":577}," 73% between February 2023 and February 2024, according to ",{"text":615,"type":577,"marks":616},"Benchmark’s Cathode Price Assessment",[617],{"type":582,"attrs":618},{"href":619,"uuid":49,"anchor":49,"target":49,"linktype":585},"https://www.benchmarkminerals.com/price-assessments/cathode/portal",{"text":587,"type":577},{"type":572,"attrs":622,"content":623},{"textAlign":49},[624,630],{"text":625,"type":577,"marks":626},"Low raw material prices",[627],{"type":582,"attrs":628},{"href":629,"uuid":49,"anchor":49,"target":49,"linktype":585},"https://source.benchmarkminerals.com/article/battery-raw-material-price-declines-add-to-long-term-supply-risks",{"text":631,"type":577}," are also putting negative pressure on cathode prices, further squeezing the profit margins of cathode producers who are increasingly struggling to compete in an oversaturated market.",{"type":572,"attrs":633,"content":634},{"textAlign":49},[635,637,643],{"text":636,"type":577},"“There’s a huge price war between cathode producers because with so much available supply from a large number of manufacturers, cell producers are able to capitalise and pit suppliers against each other,” ",{"text":638,"type":577,"marks":639},"Evan Hartley",[640],{"type":582,"attrs":641},{"href":642,"uuid":49,"anchor":49,"target":49,"linktype":585},"https://source.benchmarkminerals.com/video/watch/lithium-ion-cell-prices-fall-below-100-per-kwh-battery-market-2023-in-review",{"text":644,"type":577},", a senior price analyst at Benchmark, said.",{"type":572,"attrs":646,"content":647},{"textAlign":49},[648],{"text":649,"type":577},"LFP cathodes are currently used mostly for shorter-range EVs owing to the lower energy density of cells using the chemistry in contrast to higher energy density nickel-based cathode chemistries.",{"type":572,"attrs":651,"content":652},{"textAlign":49},[653],{"type":654,"attrs":655},"image",{"id":49,"alt":656,"src":657,"title":49,"source":49,"copyright":49,"meta_data":658},"LFP cathode overcapacity set to grow","https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/b538d83219/bm-lfp-overcapacity-chart-1.png",{},{"type":660,"attrs":661,"content":663},"heading",{"level":662,"textAlign":49},4,[664],{"text":665,"type":577},"Cathode competition used as cell bargaining tool",{"type":572,"attrs":667,"content":668},{"textAlign":49},[669,671,677],{"text":670,"type":577},"In cell production, the ",{"text":672,"type":577,"marks":673},"top ten companies",[674],{"type":582,"attrs":675},{"href":676,"uuid":49,"anchor":49,"target":49,"linktype":585},"https://source.benchmarkminerals.com/article/the-big-get-bigger-in-batteries-top-ten-producers-set-to-grow-output-400",{"text":678,"type":577}," account for 92% of global cell capacity. By contrast, the top ten cathode producers account for just 38% of global cathode material production.",{"type":572,"attrs":680,"content":681},{"textAlign":49},[682],{"text":683,"type":577},"This greater diversity of companies means there is far greater competition in cathode material production, with producers looking to supply relatively few cell makers. This decreases cathode material prices as companies compete on price.",{"type":572,"attrs":685,"content":686},{"textAlign":49},[687],{"type":654,"attrs":688},{"id":49,"alt":689,"src":690,"title":49,"source":49,"copyright":49,"meta_data":691},"2024 cathode market more competitive than cell market","https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/39ab0a5fe4/bm-cell-cathode-top-10-pie-charts.png",{},{"type":572,"attrs":693,"content":694},{"textAlign":49},[695],{"text":696,"type":577},"However, many new cathode producers are entering the market from non-battery related industries such as titanium dioxide or agricultural chemical production. This is especially the case for LFP producers with 43% of 2024 capacity associated with Tier 2 and 3 producers who are not qualified to supply the Western automotive market.",{"type":572,"attrs":698,"content":699},{"textAlign":49},[700],{"text":701,"type":577},"“Many industrially focused manufacturers found themselves with existing procurement strategies for iron phosphate or phosphoric acid, and anticipated a small leap to LFP material production,” Hartley said.",{"type":572,"attrs":703,"content":704},{"textAlign":49},[705],{"text":706,"type":577},"These companies are often lower tier companies not yet qualified to supply to the automotive market. But the low costs they are offering further drive down the prices of Tier 1 producers.",{"type":572,"attrs":708,"content":709},{"textAlign":49},[710],{"text":711,"type":577},"“Whilst Tier 1 cell producers aren’t likely to utilise supply from Tier 3 cathode producers, what they can do is use those companies as bargaining tools against their regular suppliers,” Hartley said.",{"type":660,"attrs":713,"content":714},{"level":662,"textAlign":49},[715],{"text":716,"type":577},"Low raw material costs lower margins",{"type":572,"attrs":718,"content":719},{"textAlign":49},[720],{"text":721,"type":577},"The raw material costs for cathode producers have declined over the last year, especially for LFP producers who are more sensitive to changes in lithium pricing than those producing nickel- and cobalt-containing cathode material.",{"type":572,"attrs":723,"content":724},{"textAlign":49},[725],{"text":726,"type":577},"Cathode material is typically priced based on current raw material prices, rather than the price that the cathode producer bought the feedstock at. Hartley explained that this can benefit the cathode makers when prices are rising, but in a falling price environment this further squeezes their profit margins.",{"type":572,"attrs":728,"content":729},{"textAlign":49},[730],{"text":731,"type":577},"Battery-grade lithium carbonate prices have fallen over the last year, but ticked upwards 1.6% between mid-January and mid-February this year. Despite this recent uptick, LFP cathode prices declined 7% in the same period due to highly competitive market conditions.",{"type":572,"attrs":733,"content":734},{"textAlign":49},[735],{"type":654,"attrs":736},{"id":49,"alt":737,"src":738,"title":49,"source":49,"copyright":49,"meta_data":739},"LFP prices have fallen 73% year-on-year","https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/240be89a37/bm-lfp-price-chart.png",{},{"type":572,"attrs":741,"content":742},{"textAlign":49},[743],{"text":744,"type":577},"The low raw material prices, high competition between cathode producers and the bargaining power held by cell makers have combined to squeeze the profit margins of cathode producers to be “significantly reduced,” according to Hartley.","Capacity for the production of lithium iron phosphate (LFP) cathode material is significantly exceeding demand for the material, driving down prices. This year, LFP production capacity is set to be 76% higher than the forecast demand for the material. This overcapacity is expected to increase to 127% in 2025. A significant quantity of this supply, […]",[747],{"slug":560,"name":561,"content":748},{"job_title":563,"image":749,"bio":566,"linkedin":567},{"filename":565},"\u003C!--#storyblok#{\"name\": \"article\", \"space\": \"\", \"uid\": \"125c300d-7660-4121-a791-cfb70b330f38\", \"id\": \"\"}-->","article",[753,756,758,761,763],{"slug":754,"name":755},"batteries","Batteries",{"slug":757,"name":298},"cathode",{"slug":759,"name":760},"gigafactories","Battery & Gigafactory",{"slug":762,"name":8},"lithium",{"slug":764,"name":765},"phosphate","Phosphate","private",{"id":49,"alt":689,"name":768,"focus":768,"title":689,"source":768,"filename":690,"copyright":768,"fieldtype":769,"meta_data":770,"is_external_url":51},"","asset",{"alt":689,"title":689,"source":768,"copyright":768},{"id":49,"alt":768,"name":768,"focus":768,"title":768,"source":768,"filename":772,"copyright":768,"fieldtype":769,"meta_data":773,"is_external_url":51},"https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/42d94a4aff/bm-cathode-picture.jpg",{"alt":768,"title":768,"source":768,"copyright":768},"Mar 08, 2024","8th March 2024",[],[],1781715064762]