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will Indonesia’s mining quotas affect the nickel market?","how-will-indonesias-mining-quotas-affect-the-nickel-market","article/how-will-indonesias-mining-quotas-affect-the-nickel-market",{"_uid":557,"date":558,"tags":559,"editor":563,"content":573,"excerpt":758,"featured":51,"reporter":759,"_editable":763,"component":764,"seo_title":553,"categories":765,"visibility":771,"author_company":49,"featured_image":772,"seo_description":758,"author_full_name":49,"author_job_title":49,"formattedDate":776,"formattedArticleDate":777},"50fbba5e-a1eb-4e1c-89f3-153071cb08c2","2024-06-18 00:00",[560],{"slug":561,"name":562},"indonesia","Indonesia",[564],{"slug":565,"name":566,"content":567},"didi-bostock","Didi Bostock",{"job_title":568,"image":569,"bio":571,"linkedin":572},"Editor - Energy Transition & Economics",{"filename":570},"https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/512x512/2c5ca5c1a3/didi-bostock.jpeg","Didi is the Energy Transition & Economics Editor at Benchmark, covering a broad range of markets across the energy transition. His remit spans from downstream sectors such as BESS and EVs, through to midstream such as new technologies and battery production, to upstream critical minerals mining. He also leads on financial analysis across these supply chains, alongside in-depth policy analysis.\n","https://www.linkedin.com/in/didi-bostock-656342198/",{"type":574,"content":575},"doc",[576,583,598,611,616,623,628,633,642,647,652,663,668,673,678,683,688,693,698,703,708,713,732,737,742,747],{"type":577,"attrs":578,"content":579},"paragraph",{"textAlign":49},[580],{"text":581,"type":582},"Indonesia issued long-awaited nickel mining quotas last week, equating to around 240 million tonnes of nickel ore per annum over the next three years. ","text",{"type":577,"attrs":584,"content":585},{"textAlign":49},[586,588,596],{"text":587,"type":582},"The delayed approval of the permits, known as RKAB, stemmed from changes to their validity from one year to three years; designed to address fears of premature resource depletion. The ",{"text":589,"type":582,"marks":590},"recent Indonesian election further compounded delays",[591],{"type":592,"attrs":593},"link",{"href":594,"uuid":49,"anchor":49,"target":49,"linktype":595},"https://source.benchmarkminerals.com/article/what-does-the-2024-indonesia-election-mean-for-the-ev-battery-supply-chain","url",{"text":597,"type":582},". ",{"type":577,"attrs":599,"content":600},{"textAlign":49},[601,603,609],{"text":602,"type":582},"Indonesia’s refined nickel output jumped by more than 32% in 2023, according to the ",{"text":604,"type":582,"marks":605},"Benchmark Nickel Forecast",[606],{"type":592,"attrs":607},{"href":608,"uuid":49,"anchor":49,"target":49,"linktype":595},"https://www.benchmarkminerals.com/forecasts/nickel/reports/",{"text":610,"type":582},", leading to overcapacity concerns as the nickel market surplus widened to over 200,000 tonnes. ",{"type":577,"attrs":612,"content":613},{"textAlign":49},[614],{"text":615,"type":582},"“Mining quota delays have created a supply bottleneck in Indonesia,” said Jorge Uzcategui, nickel analyst at Benchmark.“Non-vertically integrated smelters have been struggling to secure sufficient ore volumes to keep their operations running at capacity so far this year.”",{"type":617,"attrs":618,"content":620},"heading",{"level":619,"textAlign":49},4,[621],{"text":622,"type":582},"Why has Indonesia imported nickel from the Philippines?",{"type":577,"attrs":624,"content":625},{"textAlign":49},[626],{"text":627,"type":582},"Amidst a squeeze on domestic ore supply, Indonesia’s nickel smelters have increasingly turned to neighbouring Philippines to secure feedstock to meet demand requirements in recent months. ",{"type":577,"attrs":629,"content":630},{"textAlign":49},[631],{"text":632,"type":582},"Trade data shows that nickel ore exports from the Philippines to Indonesia reached record levels in April, and were 31% higher in the first four months of 2024 than full-year 2023.",{"type":577,"attrs":634,"content":635},{"textAlign":49},[636],{"type":637,"attrs":638},"image",{"id":49,"alt":639,"src":640,"title":49,"source":49,"copyright":49,"meta_data":641},"","https://lh7-us.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXdygmaFIxxnxUhpC4jJmUjvtm4pi7E8E-7DFaeB_KldnBrv0ezGq3ivee0KijTDkD89_FGH84Yb1yjIbB6xoqrMkn73ytz5OIgMejHOgEcj9fHQz8b5Ld4G5P8KmWeiRojZDtzmTPZgmiXtg8YEuHOWeV0?key=ygGFYTNRc4DZanzzuYrbTw",{},{"type":577,"attrs":643,"content":644},{"textAlign":49},[645],{"text":646,"type":582},"“A mix of factors have led refiners to import ore from the Philippines,” said Uzcategui. ",{"type":577,"attrs":648,"content":649},{"textAlign":49},[650],{"text":651,"type":582},"“These include ore stockpiles running low for smelters, tightness in freshly mined ore due to the slowdown in permitting of new mining quotas, and uncertainty of how much and when the government would approve the new quotas being some of the main ones.” ",{"type":577,"attrs":653,"content":654},{"textAlign":49},[655,657],{"text":656,"type":582},"The squeeze on supplies helped to drive nickel ore prices up by 10% in May, ",{"text":658,"type":582,"marks":659},"according to the Benchmark Nickel Price Assessment. ",[660],{"type":592,"attrs":661},{"href":662,"uuid":49,"anchor":49,"target":49,"linktype":595},"https://www.benchmarkminerals.com/price-assessments/nickel/portal/",{"type":617,"attrs":664,"content":665},{"level":619,"textAlign":49},[666],{"text":667,"type":582},"Will the quota be sufficient to meet domestic demand?",{"type":577,"attrs":669,"content":670},{"textAlign":49},[671],{"text":672,"type":582},"The approval of mining permits will come as a relief to domestic smelters; high ore prices have squeezed margins during a period of low nickel prices in the first half of 2024.",{"type":577,"attrs":674,"content":675},{"textAlign":49},[676],{"text":677,"type":582},"To determine whether the mining quotas will be sufficient to meet demand from domestic smelters, Benchmark has conducted scenario-based analysis that includes a number of assumptions around nickel ore grades, refined nickel output by product, and yield loss.",{"type":577,"attrs":679,"content":680},{"textAlign":49},[681],{"text":682,"type":582},"The analysis indicates that, in the majority of scenarios, the mining quota should be sufficient to meet projected demand from Indonesia’s refined nickel production in 2024.",{"type":577,"attrs":684,"content":685},{"textAlign":49},[686],{"text":687,"type":582},"“Only if average saprolite grades were to fall below 1.7% and limonite below 0.7%, would additional ore likely be required,” added Uzcategui.",{"type":617,"attrs":689,"content":690},{"level":619,"textAlign":49},[691],{"text":692,"type":582},"Why is Indonesia focusing on HPAL?",{"type":577,"attrs":694,"content":695},{"textAlign":49},[696],{"text":697,"type":582},"The delay in issuing new mining permits is part of a wider strategy to clampdown on low-grade nickel production in the region. ",{"type":577,"attrs":699,"content":700},{"textAlign":49},[701],{"text":702,"type":582},"The Indonesian government is evaluating the potential termination of permits for rotary kiln electric furnace (RKEF) smelters, used to make low-grade nickel products for the stainless steel industry, Reuters reported. ",{"type":577,"attrs":704,"content":705},{"textAlign":49},[706],{"text":707,"type":582},"RKEF smelters require higher grade saprolite ore to feed their operations, reserves of which are at risk of depleting before the end of the decade. In contrast, high pressure acid leach (HPAL) operations utilise more abundant, and lower-grade limonite ore. ",{"type":577,"attrs":709,"content":710},{"textAlign":49},[711],{"text":712,"type":582},"Indonesia wants to attract more value-added investment from the battery industry,  capitalising on its vast nickel reserves to build out an end-to-end battery supply chain and cement its position at the heart of the lithium ion economy. ",{"type":577,"attrs":714,"content":715},{"textAlign":49},[716,721,728],{"text":717,"type":582,"marks":718},"Watch Benchmark analyst Jorge Uzcategui discuss Indonesia’s nickel market dominance. View more analyst insight videos ",[719],{"type":720},"italic",{"text":722,"type":582,"marks":723},"here",[724,727],{"type":592,"attrs":725},{"href":726,"uuid":49,"anchor":49,"target":49,"linktype":595},"https://source.benchmarkminerals.com/search/tag/analyst-insights?items_per_page=12&page_offset=0&tags%5B%5D=analyst-insights",{"type":720},{"text":729,"type":582,"marks":730},".",[731],{"type":720},{"type":577,"attrs":733,"content":734},{"textAlign":49},[735],{"text":736,"type":582},"RKEF smelters can be upgraded to produce nickel-matte targeted for the battery industry, however the pyrometallurgical process is several times more carbon intensive than HPAL.",{"type":577,"attrs":738,"content":739},{"textAlign":49},[740],{"text":741,"type":582},"“The push towards more HPAL plants is because of the environmental and social governance concerns connected to pyrometallurgical smelters alongside depleting saprolite reserves,” Uzcategui said.",{"type":577,"attrs":743,"content":744},{"textAlign":49},[745],{"text":746,"type":582},"While Indonesia has attracted billions of dollars of mining investments to supply nickel to the battery industry, large-scale commitments for downstream projects have been slower to materialise. ",{"type":577,"attrs":748,"content":749},{"textAlign":49},[750,752],{"text":751,"type":582},"LG Energy Solution and Hyundai are slated to begin cell production at a 20 GWh facility in Karawang late this year, to date Indonesia’s only planned battery gigafactory, according to the",{"text":753,"type":582,"marks":754}," Benchmark Gigafactory Assessment.",[755],{"type":592,"attrs":756},{"href":757,"uuid":49,"anchor":49,"target":49,"linktype":595},"https://www.benchmarkminerals.com/market-assessments/gigafactory-assessment/capacities/","Indonesia issued long-awaited nickel mining quotas last week, equating to around 240 million tonnes of nickel ore per annum over the next three years. The delayed approval of the permits, known as RKAB, stemmed from changes to their validity from one year to three years; designed to address fears of premature resource depletion. The recent […]",[760],{"slug":565,"name":566,"content":761},{"job_title":568,"image":762,"bio":571,"linkedin":572},{"filename":570},"\u003C!--#storyblok#{\"name\": \"article\", \"space\": \"\", \"uid\": \"50fbba5e-a1eb-4e1c-89f3-153071cb08c2\", \"id\": \"\"}-->","article",[766,769],{"slug":767,"name":768},"critical-minerals","Critical Minerals",{"slug":770,"name":150},"nickel","private",{"id":49,"alt":639,"name":639,"focus":639,"title":639,"source":639,"filename":773,"copyright":639,"fieldtype":774,"meta_data":775,"is_external_url":51},"https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/3c57fd2cb5/bm-nickel-ore-indonesia.jpg","asset",{"alt":639,"title":639,"source":639,"copyright":639},"Jun 18, 2024","18th June 2024",[],[],1792773900371]