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Mid-Nickel",103.5,99.73,3.78,13.78,6.78,[518,519,520,522,524,526,528,530,532,534,536,538],{"date":213,"value":512},{"date":216,"value":513},{"date":219,"value":521},99.19,{"date":222,"value":523},96.02,{"date":225,"value":525},98.23,{"date":467,"value":527},99.24,{"date":329,"value":529},101.29,{"date":339,"value":531},87.61,{"date":341,"value":533},92.44,{"date":344,"value":535},90.96,{"date":347,"value":537},92.24,{"date":350,"value":539},95.09,{"id":541,"uuid":542,"name":543,"slug":544,"full_slug":545,"content":546,"relatedArticles":765,"relatedVideos":766},112470266038096,"88aa3ca7-f30a-42ae-932d-232c0678b96b","Indonesian nickel at centre of battery geopolitics – 2023 in review","indonesian-supply-ramp-up-and-weaker-cathode-demand-hits-nickel-prices-2023-in-review","article/indonesian-supply-ramp-up-and-weaker-cathode-demand-hits-nickel-prices-2023-in-review",{"_uid":547,"date":548,"tags":549,"editor":550,"content":560,"excerpt":745,"featured":51,"reporter":746,"_editable":750,"component":751,"seo_title":543,"categories":752,"visibility":758,"author_company":49,"featured_image":759,"seo_description":745,"author_full_name":49,"author_job_title":49,"formattedDate":763,"formattedArticleDate":764},"625386f6-308b-4b20-9d28-470a63417144","2023-12-19 00:00",[],[551],{"slug":552,"name":553,"content":554},"matthew-bird","Matthew Bird",{"job_title":555,"image":556,"bio":558,"linkedin":559},"Senior Editor - Supply Chains & Data Visualisation",{"filename":557},"https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/512x512/14738033ec/matthew-bird.jpeg","Matthew writes, edits and produces content for Benchmark Intelligence and Benchmark Source across the whole mine to grid supply chain. He also acts as a liaison to the press. He has a PhD in electrochemistry from the University of Nottingham.","https://www.linkedin.com/in/birdmatthew/",{"type":561,"content":562},"doc",[563,570,585,590,595,606,613,618,623,644,649,654,659,670,679,684,695,700,721,728,733],{"type":564,"attrs":565,"content":566},"paragraph",{"textAlign":49},[567],{"text":568,"type":569},"Indonesian supply was central to the nickel story in 2023 as it played a pivotal role in ramping up new production and remained a point of contention in US-China relations. ","text",{"type":564,"attrs":571,"content":572},{"textAlign":49},[573,575,583],{"text":574,"type":569},"Despite nickel demand growing by 7%, largely driven by increasing battery production, the global nickel market is set to end this year in a surplus of over 200,000 tonnes according to ",{"text":576,"type":569,"marks":577},"Benchmark’s Nickel Forecast",[578],{"type":579,"attrs":580},"link",{"href":581,"uuid":49,"anchor":49,"target":49,"linktype":582},"https://www.benchmarkminerals.com/forecasts/nickel/reports/","url",{"text":584,"type":569},".",{"type":564,"attrs":586,"content":587},{"textAlign":49},[588],{"text":589,"type":569},"While near-term battery demand was lower than expected its long-term trajectory, however, is set to be driven by the growth in high nickel nickel cobalt manganese (NCM) cathode demand from the electric vehicle (EV) industry, particularly in Western markets. ",{"type":564,"attrs":591,"content":592},{"textAlign":49},[593],{"text":594,"type":569},"But with North American automakers’ ambitions relying on nickel supply 2023 saw increased focus on whether Indonesian material would fit into US battery ambitions.",{"type":564,"attrs":596,"content":597},{"textAlign":49},[598],{"text":599,"type":569,"marks":600},"Watch Benchmark analyst Spencer Ingall discuss the key nickel market trends of 2023",[601,604],{"type":579,"attrs":602},{"href":603,"uuid":49,"anchor":49,"target":49,"linktype":582},"https://source.benchmarkminerals.com/video/watch/indonesias-supply-surge-nickel-market-2023-in-review",{"type":605},"italic",{"type":607,"attrs":608,"content":610},"heading",{"level":609,"textAlign":49},4,[611],{"text":612,"type":569},"Will Indonesian nickel enter the US?",{"type":564,"attrs":614,"content":615},{"textAlign":49},[616],{"text":617,"type":569},"While Indonesia is expected to maintain its nickel supply dominance, the country does not have a free trade agreement with the US yet, implying its nickel is not eligible for subsidies under the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA). ",{"type":564,"attrs":619,"content":620},{"textAlign":49},[621],{"text":622,"type":569},"Automakers must source a certain percentage of critical minerals from the US or free trade agreement countries, in order to obtain a $3,750 EV tax credit under the legislation.",{"type":564,"attrs":624,"content":625},{"textAlign":49},[626,628,634,636,642],{"text":627,"type":569},"In November, Indonesia and the US agreed to ",{"text":629,"type":569,"marks":630},"develop a critical minerals action plan",[631],{"type":579,"attrs":632},{"href":633,"uuid":49,"anchor":49,"target":49,"linktype":582},"https://source.benchmarkminerals.com/article/us-and-indonesia-pave-way-for-critical-minerals-agreement",{"text":635,"type":569}," following talks at the White House. But this month the US proposed ",{"text":637,"type":569,"marks":638},"Foreign Entity of Concern rules that ",[639],{"type":579,"attrs":640},{"href":641,"uuid":49,"anchor":49,"target":49,"linktype":582},"https://www.benchmarkminerals.com/price-assessments/nickel/proposed-ira-feoc-threshold-poses-risk-to-american-automaker-ncm-ambitions-benchmark-nickel/",{"text":643,"type":569},"could further make it difficult for supplies from Indonesia to become IRA-compliant.",{"type":564,"attrs":645,"content":646},{"textAlign":49},[647],{"text":648,"type":569},"“Without Indonesia it will be extremely hard. The US currently does not have enough supply coming from its free trade partners to make up for its demand,” said Spencer Ingall, a Benchmark nickel analyst.",{"type":607,"attrs":650,"content":651},{"level":609,"textAlign":49},[652],{"text":653,"type":569},"Indonesian supply ramp up",{"type":564,"attrs":655,"content":656},{"textAlign":49},[657],{"text":658,"type":569},"The bulk of the supply growth this year came in from nickel pig iron (NPI) producers in Indonesia, which cater largely to the stainless steel market, which supplied an additional 230,000 tonnes of nickel to the market, compared to last year. In contrast, mixed hydroxide precipitate (MHP) and nickel matte operations supplied over 170,000 tonnes.",{"type":564,"attrs":660,"content":661},{"textAlign":49},[662,664,669],{"text":663,"type":569},"The country, which has the world’s largest nickel reserves, is forecast to increase its nickel supply by about 38% to 1.87 million tonnes of refined supply in 2023, according to the ",{"text":665,"type":569,"marks":666},"Benchmark Nickel Forecast",[667],{"type":579,"attrs":668},{"href":581,"uuid":49,"anchor":49,"target":49,"linktype":582},{"text":584,"type":569},{"type":564,"attrs":671,"content":672},{"textAlign":49},[673],{"type":674,"attrs":675},"image",{"id":49,"alt":676,"src":677,"title":49,"source":49,"copyright":49,"meta_data":678},"","https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/f0ebef83af/bm-indoensia-nickel-supply-chart.png",{},{"type":564,"attrs":680,"content":681},{"textAlign":49},[682],{"text":683,"type":569},"“The oversupply is going to continue. So it doesn’t look like there’s going to be much room for positive movement in a pricing sense,” said Ingall, adding that Indonesia has shown capabilities to add new capacity at a swift pace.",{"type":564,"attrs":685,"content":686},{"textAlign":49},[687,689,693],{"text":688,"type":569},"In 2024, the market is expected to reach a surplus of around 260,000 tonnes, as more high-pressure acid leaching and new NPI and ferronickel operations come into the market, according to the ",{"text":665,"type":569,"marks":690},[691],{"type":579,"attrs":692},{"href":581,"uuid":49,"anchor":49,"target":49,"linktype":582},{"text":694,"type":569},". The nickel market is forecast to enter an era of deficit from 2029 onwards.",{"type":607,"attrs":696,"content":697},{"level":609,"textAlign":49},[698],{"text":699,"type":569},"Demand growth slowdown and price falls",{"type":564,"attrs":701,"content":702},{"textAlign":49},[703,705,711,713,719],{"text":704,"type":569},"Chinese ",{"text":706,"type":569,"marks":707},"nickel sulphate prices",[708],{"type":579,"attrs":709},{"href":710,"uuid":49,"anchor":49,"target":49,"linktype":582},"https://source.benchmarkminerals.com/article/chinese-nickel-sulphate-prices-near-three-year-low-amid-weak-battery-demand",{"text":712,"type":569}," fell to their lowest levels since August 2020 to RMB 25,500 ($3,605) per tonne on December 15, recording a decline of 35.4% on a year-to-date basis, according to ",{"text":714,"type":569,"marks":715},"Benchmark’s Nickel Price Assessment",[716],{"type":579,"attrs":717},{"href":718,"uuid":49,"anchor":49,"target":49,"linktype":582},"https://www.benchmarkminerals.com/price-assessments/nickel/portal/?tab=table",{"text":720,"type":569},". ",{"type":564,"attrs":722,"content":723},{"textAlign":49},[724],{"type":674,"attrs":725},{"id":49,"alt":676,"src":726,"title":49,"source":49,"copyright":49,"meta_data":727},"https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/443154e97e/bm-lme-nickel-and-china-nickel-sulphate-divergence.png",{},{"type":564,"attrs":729,"content":730},{"textAlign":49},[731],{"text":732,"type":569},"A surplus in the nickel market coincided with battery demand not growing as fast as expected, in part due to a slowdown in the growth of EV sales in China, the world’s largest market. ",{"type":564,"attrs":734,"content":735},{"textAlign":49},[736,738,743],{"text":737,"type":569},"Higher interest rates have also weakened demand in the US and Europe. ",{"text":739,"type":569,"marks":740},"Benchmark now forecasts",[741],{"type":579,"attrs":742},{"href":581,"uuid":49,"anchor":49,"target":49,"linktype":582},{"text":744,"type":569}," that nickel demand will reach 3.1 million tonnes this year, a slight downgrade from last quarter’s expectations.","Indonesian supply was central to the nickel story in 2023 as it played a pivotal role in ramping up new production and remained a point of contention in US-China relations. Despite nickel demand growing by 7%, largely driven by increasing battery production, the global nickel market is set to end this year in a surplus […]",[747],{"slug":552,"name":553,"content":748},{"job_title":555,"image":749,"bio":558,"linkedin":559},{"filename":557},"\u003C!--#storyblok#{\"name\": \"article\", \"space\": \"\", \"uid\": \"625386f6-308b-4b20-9d28-470a63417144\", \"id\": \"\"}-->","article",[753,756],{"slug":754,"name":755},"critical-minerals","Critical Minerals",{"slug":757,"name":150},"nickel","private",{"id":49,"alt":676,"name":676,"focus":676,"title":676,"source":676,"filename":760,"copyright":676,"fieldtype":761,"meta_data":762,"is_external_url":51},"https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/3c57fd2cb5/bm-nickel-ore-indonesia.jpg","asset",{"alt":676,"title":676,"source":676,"copyright":676},"Dec 19, 2023","19th December 2023",[],[],1781280271544]