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America mined lithium supply to grow 77% by 2040","south-america-mined-lithium-supply-to-grow-77-by-2040","article/south-america-mined-lithium-supply-to-grow-77-by-2040",{"_uid":557,"date":558,"tags":559,"editor":578,"content":588,"excerpt":707,"featured":51,"reporter":708,"component":718,"seo_title":553,"categories":719,"visibility":728,"data_vis_image":729,"featured_image":734,"seo_description":738,"side_panel_banner":739,"formattedDate":766,"formattedArticleDate":767},"ac33810c-23bf-4765-a5a9-4342bc099141","2026-10-21 00:00",[560,563,566,569,572,575],{"slug":561,"name":562},"argentina","Argentina",{"slug":564,"name":565},"chile","Chile",{"slug":567,"name":568},"south-america","South America",{"slug":570,"name":571},"bhp","BHP",{"slug":573,"name":574},"anglo-american","Anglo American",{"slug":576,"name":577},"data-visualisation","Data Visualisation",[579],{"slug":580,"name":581,"content":582},"benjamin-roche","Benjamin Roche",{"job_title":583,"image":584,"bio":586,"linkedin":587},"Editor – Energy Transition Supply Chains",{"filename":585},"https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/800x800/66d6674fb8/benjamin-roche.png","Benjamin is Benchmark's Editor for Energy Transition Supply Chains, covering both upstream products like critical minerals and downstream products including energy storage systems and electric vehicles. He has previous experience covering trade flows, tariffs and the effects of geopolitics on supply chains.","https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjaminrochecontent/",{"type":589,"attrs":590,"content":591},"doc",{"backgroundColor":49},[592,610,625,648,658,663,674,679,684,691,696,701],{"type":593,"attrs":594,"content":595},"paragraph",{"textAlign":49},[596,599,608],{"text":597,"type":598},"South America’s supply of mined lithium is expected to grow 77% from 2026 levels by 2040, according to ","text",{"text":600,"type":598,"marks":601},"Benchmark’s Lithium Service",[602],{"type":603,"attrs":604},"link",{"href":605,"uuid":49,"anchor":49,"target":606,"linktype":607},"https://benchmarkminerals.com/lithium","_blank","url",{"text":609,"type":598},".",{"type":593,"attrs":611,"content":612},{"textAlign":49},[613,615,623],{"text":614,"type":598},"The region is forecast to supply 444kt LCE in 2026 and 784kt in 2040. This growth is driven in large part by Argentina, which is expected to largely ",{"text":616,"type":598,"marks":617},"catch up with neighbouring Chile",[618],{"type":603,"attrs":619},{"href":620,"uuid":621,"anchor":49,"target":606,"linktype":622},"/article/chile-s-regulatory-gridlock-giving-argentina-upper-hand-on-lithium-output-growth","6d4b46da-d155-4b62-9e59-97f9c80037ab","story",{"text":624,"type":598}," in lithium supply. Argentina’s supply is expected to increase by more than 200% over the period from 111kt to 337kt, while Chile is forecast to grow 25%, from 296kt to 371kt.",{"type":593,"attrs":626,"content":627},{"textAlign":49},[628,630,637,639,646],{"text":629,"type":598},"\"Argentina has become a beacon for ",{"text":631,"type":598,"marks":632},"lithium investment",[633],{"type":603,"attrs":634},{"href":635,"uuid":636,"anchor":49,"target":606,"linktype":622},"/article/more-than-60-billion-in-capex-required-to-meet-2040-lithium-demand-benchmark-analysis-finds","9c4ce414-709c-47bb-a7ca-067eaa878807",{"text":638,"type":598},", driven by a combination of high-quality resources and a favourable ",{"text":640,"type":598,"marks":641},"investment framework",[642],{"type":603,"attrs":643},{"href":644,"uuid":645,"anchor":49,"target":606,"linktype":622},"/article/argentinas-lithium-output-to-grow-150-by-2030-on-back-of-rigi-scheme","fba8f6f5-4476-47f4-aa59-a36298c09863",{"text":647,"type":598},", which has been critical in increasing companies' appetite for committing capital,” said Benchmark principal lithium analyst Federico Gay. “The country is bringing projects online quickly and still has a very attractive development pipeline.\"",{"type":649,"attrs":650,"content":652},"heading",{"level":651,"textAlign":49},2,[653],{"text":654,"type":598,"marks":655},"Incentivisation driving Argentina’s growth",[656],{"type":657},"bold",{"type":593,"attrs":659,"content":660},{"textAlign":49},[661],{"text":662,"type":598},"At October’s FT Metals and Mining Summit, where Benchmark was in attendance, Argentina’s mining secretary, Luis Lucero, reflected on the country’s recent growth. Between 2020 and 2026, supply from the country already increased from 32kt to 111kt. This he attributed it to his government’s programme of incentives, which includes the Regimen for Incentivising Large Investments (RIGI) scheme.",{"type":664,"attrs":665},"blok",{"id":666,"body":667},"ef5fca42-758f-4eec-8d3a-20f84f179176",[668],{"id":669,"_uid":670,"type":671,"component":672,"fixed_height":673,"use_fixed_height":50,"fixed_height_mobile":673,"fixed_height_tablet":673},"30629826","i-ba93f057-8813-4e7b-b9c7-69918bf26282","visualisation","ContentFlourish","",{"type":593,"attrs":675,"content":676},{"textAlign":49},[677],{"text":678,"type":598},"Lucero said the RIGI’s provisions have ensured Argentina-based projects have “stability for 30 years”, the length of time under which tax, customs and currency rules are frozen. BHP CFO Vandita Pant noted in discussions at the event that the legislation had reduced “external uncertainties” for its Vicuña copper project in the country.",{"type":593,"attrs":680,"content":681},{"textAlign":49},[682],{"text":683,"type":598},"Lucero said that this approach is unlikely to be undermined by a change in government in the Argentina, where he highlighted that most political parties recognise the jobs and economic growth mining supports. He said that there had been “a drastic change in the way the mining sector is perceived [in] public opinion”, particularly in the country’s lithium-rich northwestern provinces.",{"type":649,"attrs":685,"content":686},{"level":651,"textAlign":49},[687],{"text":688,"type":598,"marks":689},"Catching up with Chile",[690],{"type":657},{"type":593,"attrs":692,"content":693},{"textAlign":49},[694],{"text":695,"type":598},"The growth in Argentina’s supply has come as growth from Chile, the third largest supplier of mined lithium in the world after Australia and China, is expected to slow through to 2030, in part on less aggressive incentivisation from its government. Benchmark forecasts a 2020–2030 CAGR of 12.6% for its mined lithium output, compared with a 1.1% CAGR for 2030–2040. Gay said: \"This growth is coming mainly from efficiency gains and the ramp-up of expansions at the two existing Salar de Atacama operations. We do not expect significant production from new Chilean projects until the next decade.\"",{"type":593,"attrs":697,"content":698},{"textAlign":49},[699],{"text":700,"type":598},"Interim CEO of Anglo American in Chile Tzveta Tchorbadjieva said in discussion with Lucero that the growth in Argentina’s supply was “strengthening the investment case for Latin America” more broadly. Benchmark also expects growth in lithium supply from Brazil, from 35kt in 2026 to 64kt by 2040. Bolivia and Peru are forecast to supply a combined 13kt.",{"type":664,"attrs":702},{"id":666,"body":703},[704],{"id":705,"_uid":706,"type":671,"component":672,"fixed_height":673,"use_fixed_height":50,"fixed_height_mobile":673,"fixed_height_tablet":673},"30631043","i-82a752c7-9fd6-40ad-a5b4-93b1ec3501f5","South America’s supply of mined lithium is expected to grow 77% from 2026 levels by 2040, according to Benchmark’s Lithium Service.\n\nThe region is forecast to supply 444kt LCE in 2026 and 784kt in 2040. This growth is driven in large part by Argentina, which is expected to largely catch up with neighbouring Chile in lithium supply. Argentina’s supply is expected to increase by more than 200% over the period from 111kt to 337kt, while Chile is forecast to grow 25%, from 296kt to 371kt.\n\n\"Argentina has become a beacon for lithium investment, driven by a combination of high-quality resources and a favourable investment framework, which has been critical in increasing companies' appetite for committing capital,” said Benchmark lithium analyst Federico Gay. “The country is bringing projects online quickly and still has a very attractive development pipeline.\"",[709],{"slug":710,"name":711,"content":712},"federico-gay","Federico Gay",{"job_title":713,"image":714,"bio":716,"linkedin":717,"markets_covered":8},"Principal Analyst - Lithium",{"filename":715},"https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/512x512/599762cb57/federico-gay.jpeg","Federico is an economic geologist specializing in lithium at Benchmark Mineral Intelligence. His expertise bridges technical and financial domains, with a background that spans deposit assessment, resource estimation, cost modelling, pricing trends, and ESG analysis. Federico’s career includes hands-on mining experience in Chile across lithium and copper deposits, as well as market-facing roles at the London Stock Exchange, focusing on lithium, precious metals and copper. His work supports strategic insights into the global energy transition and critical mineral supply chains. He holds a MSc in Economic Geology from Universidad Catolica del Norte, Chile.","https://www.linkedin.com/in/federico-gaston-gay-1aa629160/","article",[720,722,725],{"slug":721,"name":8},"lithium",{"slug":723,"name":724},"raw-materials","Raw Materials",{"slug":726,"name":727},"critical-minerals","Critical Minerals","private",{"id":730,"alt":673,"name":673,"focus":673,"title":673,"source":673,"filename":731,"copyright":673,"fieldtype":732,"meta_data":733,"is_external_url":50},233023895723443,"https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/1588x1268/6ec6151bc4/percentage-of-lithium-supply-growth-to-2040-2x.png","asset",{},{"id":735,"alt":673,"name":673,"focus":673,"title":673,"source":673,"filename":736,"copyright":673,"fieldtype":732,"meta_data":737,"is_external_url":50},233022748794101,"https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/3000x2003/f788a37e97/lithium-argentina.jpeg",{},"South America’s supply of mined lithium is expected to grow 77% from 2026 levels by 2040, according to Benchmark’s Lithium Service.",{"name":8,"created_at":740,"published_at":741,"updated_at":742,"id":743,"uuid":744,"content":745,"slug":721,"full_slug":758,"sort_by_date":49,"position":759,"tag_list":760,"is_startpage":50,"parent_id":761,"meta_data":49,"group_id":762,"first_published_at":763,"release_id":49,"lang":764,"path":49,"alternates":765,"default_full_slug":49,"translated_slugs":49,"_stopResolving":51},"2026-07-28T09:33:34.132Z","2026-09-24T16:04:00.777Z","2026-09-24T16:04:00.791Z",202922451515792,"fdb9ab07-8995-493a-8ee4-a3472db7c645",{"cta":746,"_uid":749,"image":750,"title":754,"subtitle":755,"component":756,"description":757},{"id":673,"url":747,"linktype":607,"fieldtype":748,"cached_url":747},"https://www.benchmarkminerals.com/lithium","multilink","cdf9420e-a380-45bf-82e9-62516cae7ec6",{"id":751,"alt":673,"name":673,"focus":673,"title":673,"source":673,"filename":752,"copyright":673,"fieldtype":732,"meta_data":753,"is_external_url":50},202923041788829,"https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/4096x3072/b42fd40049/lithium.png",{},"Benchmark's Lithium Service","World-Leading Lithium Intelligence","ContentBanner","Asset-level supply, demand and costs to 2050. Real-time and future prices forming the industry's trusted reference.","source-banners/lithium",-30,[],202922247866666,"339bc4ba-a970-4cf4-8eac-1a06f7f285df","2026-07-28T09:36:58.878Z","default",[],"Oct 21, 2026","21st October 2026",[],[],1792624524536]