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and Policy Briefing – August 2025","geo-economic-and-policy-briefing-august-2025","publications/briefings/geo-economic-and-policy-briefings/geo-economic-and-policy-briefing-august-2025",{"_uid":557,"date":558,"content":559,"excerpt":700,"_editable":701,"component":702,"categories":703,"visibility":716,"publication_frequency":717,"formattedDate":718,"formattedArticleDate":719,"folder":720},"468f4403-478d-4bb4-ac27-7dfa29a7596c","2025-09-02 00:00",{"type":560,"content":561},"doc",[562,569,580,586,599,604,617,622,634,639,644,652,660,667,675,680,685,690,695],{"type":563,"attrs":564,"content":565},"paragraph",{"textAlign":49},[566],{"text":567,"type":568},"This is your monthly geo-economic and policy briefing, part of your Benchmark Source subscription. Every month, this briefing examines the key geo-economic and policy trends shaping the mine-to-grid supply chains, from critical minerals to electric vehicles (EVs). ","text",{"type":570,"attrs":571,"content":573},"heading",{"level":572,"textAlign":49},3,[574,576,578],{"text":575,"type":568},"1. ",{"text":577,"type":568},"Which policy and geo-economic drivers are behind the latest EV trends",{"text":579,"type":568},"?",{"type":570,"attrs":581,"content":583},{"level":582,"textAlign":49},4,[584],{"text":585,"type":568},"Overview in China, Europe and North America",{"type":563,"attrs":587,"content":588},{"textAlign":49},[589,597],{"text":590,"type":568,"marks":591},"Global year-to-date (YTD) EV sales surpassed 10.7 million in the first seven months of 2025",[592],{"type":593,"attrs":594},"link",{"href":595,"uuid":49,"anchor":49,"target":49,"linktype":596},"https://source.benchmarkminerals.com/article/global-ev-sales-grow-by-27-in-the-opening-seven-months-of-the-year","url",{"text":598,"type":568},", representing a robust 27% year-to-date increase. Despite regional variations, the overall trajectory for EV adoption in 2025 remains strongly upward, with 21.5 million BEV and PHEV (for PC & LDV only) sales forecasted for the end of 2025.",{"type":563,"attrs":600,"content":601},{"textAlign":49},[602],{"text":603,"type":568},"China continues to lead the global market with 6.5 million EV sales (January-July 2025), achieving a YTD growth rate of 29%. The recently released third round of trade-in subsidies may further support domestic EV demand, and a fourth round is expected to be issued in October.",{"type":563,"attrs":605,"content":606},{"textAlign":49},[607,609,615],{"text":608,"type":568},"As for Europe, the EV market has grown with 2.3 million YTD EV sales, representing a 30% YTD growth rate. Even with the recently adopted EU emission target flexibility, which allows automakers to meet the 2025 target over a three-year average (2025-2027), meeting the target ",{"text":610,"type":568,"marks":611},"remains a significant growth factor",[612],{"type":593,"attrs":613},{"href":614,"uuid":49,"anchor":49,"target":49,"linktype":596},"https://source.benchmarkminerals.com/article/what-is-behind-europes-2025-ev-sales-surge",{"text":616,"type":568},", with many major OEMs releasing new and more affordable EV models. EV adoption may continue to grow through various initiatives, including EV consumer subsidy schemes, tax and investment incentive packages, among others, in Italy, the UK, Spain and Germany. Additionally, France’s EV leasing scheme will be relaunched on September 30, following its suspension in 2024 as allotted funds ran out faster than expected.  ",{"type":563,"attrs":618,"content":619},{"textAlign":49},[620],{"text":621,"type":568},"In contrast, North American (US, Canada, and Mexico) EV sales are up just 2% YTD, driven by broader US policy uncertainty. However, a short-term boost is expected ahead of the 30 September 2025 expiry of the IRA consumer EV tax credit, followed by a likely slowdown in demand.",{"type":623,"attrs":624},"blok",{"id":625,"body":626},"e8d05954-f884-4efe-8143-b4c9653c576e",[627],{"id":628,"_uid":629,"type":630,"_editable":631,"component":632,"fixed_height":633,"use_fixed_height":50,"fixed_height_mobile":633,"fixed_height_tablet":633},"24916703","i-870f0199-1399-4036-b8a8-0a4f99c3fa59","visualisation","\u003C!--#storyblok#{\"name\": \"ContentFlourish\", \"space\": \"\", \"uid\": \"i-870f0199-1399-4036-b8a8-0a4f99c3fa59\", \"id\": \"\"}-->","ContentFlourish","",{"type":570,"attrs":635,"content":636},{"level":582,"textAlign":49},[637],{"text":638,"type":568},"Rest of the world EV sales",{"type":563,"attrs":640,"content":641},{"textAlign":49},[642],{"text":643,"type":568},"With over 0.9 million EVs sold outside major regions so far this year, growth sits at 42%, the fastest of any region. Here we give an overview of some key markets within the segment. ",{"type":623,"attrs":645},{"id":646,"body":647},"9deca5a7-1c04-4d47-ae96-3bb6a5ed3580",[648],{"id":649,"_uid":650,"type":630,"_editable":651,"component":632,"fixed_height":633,"use_fixed_height":50,"fixed_height_mobile":633,"fixed_height_tablet":633},"24916734","i-c67f882a-0419-42f3-9b15-dc0db7ff87c4","\u003C!--#storyblok#{\"name\": \"ContentFlourish\", \"space\": \"\", \"uid\": \"i-c67f882a-0419-42f3-9b15-dc0db7ff87c4\", \"id\": \"\"}-->",{"type":623,"attrs":653},{"id":654,"body":655},"cae5a0cf-ea1b-45d2-be6a-f91f79a8ab84",[656],{"id":657,"_uid":658,"type":630,"_editable":659,"component":632,"fixed_height":633,"use_fixed_height":50,"fixed_height_mobile":633,"fixed_height_tablet":633},"24916933","i-c8ba9c2d-861a-439b-af11-3fb88982fa42","\u003C!--#storyblok#{\"name\": \"ContentFlourish\", \"space\": \"\", \"uid\": \"i-c8ba9c2d-861a-439b-af11-3fb88982fa42\", \"id\": \"\"}-->",{"type":570,"attrs":661,"content":662},{"level":572,"textAlign":49},[663,665],{"text":664,"type":568},"2. ",{"text":666,"type":568},"Monthly round-up of the remaining key geopolitical and policy updates",{"type":623,"attrs":668},{"id":669,"body":670},"5af5ea9d-1b5d-4167-a9a2-6468c50a6c6c",[671],{"id":672,"_uid":673,"type":630,"_editable":674,"component":632,"fixed_height":633,"use_fixed_height":50,"fixed_height_mobile":633,"fixed_height_tablet":633},"24914660","i-8a80962f-1b5e-41b1-8eed-d353bd30bd73","\u003C!--#storyblok#{\"name\": \"ContentFlourish\", \"space\": \"\", \"uid\": \"i-8a80962f-1b5e-41b1-8eed-d353bd30bd73\", \"id\": \"\"}-->",{"type":570,"attrs":676,"content":677},{"level":572,"textAlign":49},[678],{"text":679,"type":568},"3. Key Macro-economic Indicators  ",{"type":563,"attrs":681,"content":682},{"textAlign":49},[683],{"text":684,"type":568},"Trade dynamics across North America are shifting sharply. Canada–US trade fell 24% between January and June, reflecting the impact of the 35% tariffs on non-USMCA-compliant goods. Yet even as exports declined, supply chains are showing signs of adjustment, in June, nearly half of Canada’s exports to the US were compliant with USMCA rules, up from an average of just under 40% in 2024. ",{"type":563,"attrs":686,"content":687},{"textAlign":49},[688],{"text":689,"type":568},"Mexico, by contrast, has continued to strengthen its trade surplus with the US this year, led by exports of automobiles and technology. This trajectory may prove short-lived, as the 90-day pause on tariffs agreed at the start of August expires in November. It is expected that the new tariff will enter into force then.  ",{"type":563,"attrs":691,"content":692},{"textAlign":49},[693],{"text":694,"type":568},"In Europe, political and economic pressures are weighing on its two largest economies. French equities have weakened as the minority government prepares to table a budget centred on multi-billion-euro spending cuts to bring the deficit under control. Proposed reductions to incentive schemes could slow investment into EV subsidies and charging infrastructure. In Germany, weak capital spending and declining factory output pushed the economy into a deeper-than-expected contraction in Q2. The strain is most visible in the domestic auto sector, where players such as VW and Mercedes have announced large layoffs and factory closures over the past year. ",{"type":563,"attrs":696,"content":697},{"textAlign":49},[698],{"text":699,"type":568},"In China, even as trade with the US softens, its exports rose more than 7% year-on-year in July. The figures underline Beijing’s success in redirecting goods to emerging markets in Southeast Asia and Africa, but a weaker yen has also further boosted the competitiveness of Chinese exports. Equity markets have tracked the improved outlook, the CSI 300 has rebounded to levels last seen in 2022, supported by a global rally in AI and technology stocks. ","This is your monthly geo-economic and policy briefing, part of your Benchmark Source subscription. Every month, this briefing examines the key geo-economic and policy trends shaping the mine-to-grid supply chains, from critical minerals to electric vehicles (EVs). 1. Which policy and geo-economic drivers are behind the latest EV trends? Overview in China, Europe and North […]","\u003C!--#storyblok#{\"name\": \"briefing\", \"space\": \"\", \"uid\": \"468f4403-478d-4bb4-ac27-7dfa29a7596c\", \"id\": \"\"}-->","briefing",[704,707,710,713],{"slug":705,"name":706},"batteries","Batteries",{"slug":708,"name":709},"critical-minerals","Critical Minerals",{"slug":711,"name":712},"geopolitics","Geopolitics",{"slug":714,"name":715},"sustainability","Sustainability","private","monthly","Sep 02, 2025","2nd September 2025",{"slug":721,"title":722,"cardImage":723,"description":724,"frequency":725},"geo-economic-and-policy-briefings","Geo Economic And Policy Briefings","https://a.storyblok.com/f/287943243085208/x/c23333c1e3/geo-economic-policy-hero.avif","This Briefing unpacks the month's key policies impacting global and regional energy transition supply chains.","Monthly",[],[],1789982633820]