Federico Gay

Federico Gay

Principal Analyst - Lithium

Federico is an economic geologist specializing in lithium at Benchmark Mineral Intelligence. His expertise bridges technical and financial domains, with a background that spans deposit assessment, resource estimation, cost modelling, pricing trends, and ESG analysis. Federico’s career includes hands-on mining experience in Chile across lithium and copper deposits, as well as market-facing roles at the London Stock Exchange, focusing on lithium, precious metals and copper. His work supports strategic insights into the global energy transition and critical mineral supply chains. He holds a MSc in Economic Geology from Universidad Catolica del Norte, Chile.

Recent articles by this Author

Site visit: Sigma’s Grota do Cirilo lithium mine operating at capacity following restructuring

Article | Jul 24, 2026 | 5 min read

Site visit: Sigma’s Grota do Cirilo lithium mine operating at capacity following restructuring

Benchmark’s July visit to Sigma Lithium's Grota do Cirilo operation in Minas Gerais, Brazil, came just before the company reported its strongest operating quarter in over a year. Sigma Lithium had paused operation at the mine in October 2025 for upgrades, though the restart was complicated by three waste piles at the site being shut down following a, now-resolved, government inspection at the start of 2026. Federico Gay, Benchmark’s principal lithium analyst, visited the site mid-July to “establish whether the mining restart had genuinely taken hold”. The visit also offered a chance to see on the ground how the self-imposed restructuring of its mine, following a period of operational bottlenecks, resulted in a significant operational turnaround “On the evidence in front of us,” Gay said, “the mine is operating at full capacity, with active blasting, continuous load and haul operations on both pits, supported by a fully functioning DMS plant, with a clear path of growth ahead."

Funding before a permit: how quickly can Chilean lithium project Black Giant get online?

Article | Jul 08, 2026 | 3 min read

Funding before a permit: how quickly can Chilean lithium project Black Giant get online?

US direct lithium extraction (DLE) firm EnergyX has closed ~US$1bn of financing for Project Black Giant, a 52,500tpa lithium carbonate development at Salar de Punta Negra, without a Contrato Especial de Operación de Litio (CEOL), the licence required to operate.  Italian energy multinational Eni's $225m for a 25% stake, stacked on a $690m debt letter of intent from the US Export-Import (EXIM) Bank, puts capital, technology, offtake and Washington's sponsorship in place. Yet Punta Negra is a basin the Chilean state has already legally recognised as damaged, raising questions about the pace with which production is likely to begin – particularly given no private contract has yet received full authorisation with a CEOL.

NovAndino's 470,000 tonne Salar Futuro lithium ambition could be limited by regulation

Article | Jul 07, 2026 | 3 min read

NovAndino's 470,000 tonne Salar Futuro lithium ambition could be limited by regulation

Chilean lithium project Salar Futuros’ recent filing reveals an annual capacity ambition of 470,000 tonnes LCE, but it is likely to face regulatory challenges in meeting this target.  NovAndino, the SQM-Codelco joint venture formalised in December 2025, has submitted the environmental impact assessment (EIA) for its Salar Futuro project, a US$3 billion complete overhaul of their current operations in the Salar de Atacama designed to extend production through 2060.

Argentina's lithium output to grow 150% by 2030 on back of RIGI scheme

Article | May 26, 2026 | 3 min read

Argentina's lithium output to grow 150% by 2030 on back of RIGI scheme

Over the past two years, Argentina has been the destination for many ambitious investment commitments thanks to the country’s Regimen for Incentivising Large Investments (RIGI). Benchmark analysis shows that Argentina’s lithium output rose from 31kt in 2018 to 86kt LCE in 2025. By 2030, Benchmark forecasts production to grow a further 153% to 218kt, positioning Argentina amongst the fastest growing lithium producers globally. The growth in Argentina’s lithium industry highlights that coordinated policy efforts and a focus on cost efficiency can attract capital and support the development of viable projects.

Québec establishing itself as a lithium hub

Article | May 18, 2026 | 3 min read

Québec establishing itself as a lithium hub

Québec is cementing a place as one of North America’s key lithium hubs. With competitive power prices from low-carbon hydroelectricity, robust mining infrastructure, Atlantic trade route access and strong government support, the province is developing a fast-growing pipeline of mining and chemical processing projects. North America’s largest operation, North American Lithium (NAL) is based in the region, and was responsible for around three quarters of the continent’s output last year. The site is operated by Elevra Lithium, formed from a merger of Sayona Mining and Piedmont Lithium in September 2025. Elevra recently received a major vote of confidence from the Canada Growth Fund in the form of a C$145m (USD$106m) convertible note commitment to support the expansion of NAL. This is expected to begin before the end of the decade. 

Chile’s regulatory gridlock giving Argentina upper hand on lithium output growth

Article | May 11, 2026 | 3 min read

Chile’s regulatory gridlock giving Argentina upper hand on lithium output growth

Stagnation in Chile’s lithium output growth stands in contrast to rapidly-growing Argentina, as regulatory hold-ups limit development of new projects in the world’s third-largest-producing nation. Two years after the official launch of the National Lithium Strategy in Chile, Lithium remains a strategic national resource, meaning private operators cannot extract it using standard mining concessions. They instead require a Special Lithium Operation Contract (CEOL), a public-private contractual vehicle that grants exclusive rights to explore and exploit lithium resources on a list of pre-determined salars.

SQM’s Atacama lithium operation secured to 2060 with Codelco partnership approval

Article | Jan 02, 2026 | 3 min read

SQM’s Atacama lithium operation secured to 2060 with Codelco partnership approval

Chilean regulators approved the deal between SQM and state-owned miner Codelco to operate a lithium joint venture, named NovaAndino Litio, in the Atacama salt flats. This deal resolves a long-standing uncertainty surrounding what would happen when SQM’s existing mining license expired in 2030. NovaAndino Litio will take over operations of SQM’s Salar de Atacama site […]